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Title:
BEARING MONITORING METHOD AND SYSTEM
Document Type and Number:
WIPO Patent Application WO/2013/160060
Kind Code:
A1
Abstract:
A method for predicting the residual life of a bearing (12) comprising the steps of measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of said bearing (12), recording said measurement data as recorded data, and predicting the residual life of said bearing (12) using said recorded data and an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) bearing life model whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by said International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model.

Inventors:
HAMILTON KEITH (GB)
MURRAY BRIAN (GB)
Application Number:
PCT/EP2013/056492
Publication Date:
October 31, 2013
Filing Date:
March 27, 2013
Export Citation:
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Assignee:
SKF AB (SE)
International Classes:
G01M13/04; F16C41/00; G05B23/02; G07C3/00
Domestic Patent References:
WO2011023209A12011-03-03
WO2009076972A12009-06-25
WO1998036251A11998-08-20
Foreign References:
EP1184813A22002-03-06
US20110115233A12011-05-19
EP1164550A22001-12-19
Other References:
HAWMAN M W ET AL: "Acoustic emission monitoring of rolling element bearings", 19881002; 19881002 - 19881005, 2 October 1988 (1988-10-02), pages 885 - 889, XP010075575
DATABASE INSPEC [online] THE INSTITUTION OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS, STEVENAGE, GB; January 2012 (2012-01-01), GAO XUE HAI ET AL: "A Rolling Contact Fatigue Reliability Evaluation Method and its Application to a Slewing Bearing", XP002700409, Database accession no. 12669108
E. B. VARLAMOV ET AL: "Theoretical prerequisites of standardizing the calculation of the service life of roller bearings", JOURNAL OF FRICTION AND WEAR, vol. 29, no. 5, 29 October 2008 (2008-10-29), pages 405 - 412, XP055069992, ISSN: 1068-3666, DOI: 10.3103/S1068366608050127
BRACCESI ET AL: "A general elastic-plastic approach to impact analisys for stress state limit evaluation in ball screw bearings return system", INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF IMPACT ENGINEERING, PERGAMON, GB, vol. 34, no. 7, 30 November 2006 (2006-11-30), pages 1272 - 1285, XP005783485, ISSN: 0734-743X, DOI: 10.1016/J.IJIMPENG.2006.06.005
ISO 281:2007 "Rolling bearings-dynamic load ratings and rating life"
Attorney, Agent or Firm:
BURO, Sven, Peter et al. (Kelvinbaan 16, MT Nieuwegein, NL)
Download PDF:
Claims:
CLAIMS

1. A method for predicting the residual life of a rolling-element bearing (12) comprising the step of:

· measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of said rolling-element bearing (12),

characterized in that it also comprises the steps of:

• recording said measurement data as recorded data, and

• predicting the residual life of said rolling-element bearing (12) using said recorded data and an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model, whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact rather than by said International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling- element bearing life model.

2. A method according to claim 1 , characterized in that said ISO rolling-element bearing life model is an ISO 281 rolling-element bearing life model.

3. A method according to claim 1 or 2, characterized in that said step of predicting the residual life of said rolling-element bearing (12) includes taking at least one of the following factors into account: exposure of the rolling-element bearing to corrosion; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to fretting damage; exposure of the rolling- element bearing to transient load conditions; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient or continuous conditions that cause a lubrication film to break down.

4. A method according to any of the preceding claims, characterized in that it includes the step of obtaining identification data (16) uniquely identifying said rolling- element bearing (12) and recording said identification data (16) together with said recorded data.

5. A method according to any of the preceding claims, characterized in that electronic means is used in said step of recording said data in a database (20).

6. A method according to any of the preceding claims, characterized in that it comprises the step of refining said mathematical residual life predication model using data concerning one or more similar or substantially identical bearings, for example using data collected from a plurality of bearings, such as recordings made over an extended period of time and/or based on tests on similar or substantially identical bearings.

5 7. A method according to any of the preceding claims, characterized in that it comprises the step of updating said residual life prediction as said new data is obtained and/or recorded.

8. Computer program product, characterized in that it comprises a computer 10 program containing computer program code means arranged to cause a computer or a processor to execute the steps of a method according to any of the preceding claims, stored on a computer-readable medium or a carrier wave.

9. A system (10) for predicting the residual life of a rolling-element bearing (12) 15 comprising:

• at least one sensor for measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of said rolling-element bearing (12),

characterized in that it also comprises:

• a data processing unit (18) to record the measured data as recorded data, and

20 · a prediction unit (22) to predict the residual life of said rolling-element bearing (12) using said recorded data and an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by said International Organization for

25 Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model.

10. A system (10) according to claim 9, characterized in that said ISO rolling-element bearing life model is an ISO 281 :2007 rolling-element bearing life model.

30 1 1. A system (10) according to claim 9 or 10, characterized in that said prediction unit (22) is configured to predict the residual life of said rolling-element bearing (12) by taking at least one of the following factors into account: exposure of the rolling-element bearing to corrosion; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to fretting damage; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient load conditions; exposure of the rolling-element

35 bearing to transient or continuous conditions that cause a lubrication film to break down.

12. A system (10) according to claims 9-1 1 , characterized in that it includes an identification sensor configured to obtain identification data (16) uniquely identifying said rolling-element bearing (12), whereby said data processing unit (18) is configured to record said identification data (16) together with said recorded data.

13. A system (10) according to any of claims 9-12, characterized in that said data processing unit (18) is configured to electronically record said data in a database (20).

14. A system (10) according to any of claims 9-13, characterized in that said data processing unit (18) is configured to predict the residual life of said rolling-element bearing

(12) also comprises using recorded data concerning one or more similar or substantially identical rolling-element bearings.

15. A system (10) according to any of claims 9-14, characterized in that said prediction unit (22) is configured to update said residual life prediction as said new data is obtained and/or recorded.

Description:
BEARING MONITORING METHOD AND SYSTEM

TECHNICAL FIELD

The present invention concerns a method, system and computer program product for predicting the residual life of a rolling-element bearing, i.e. for predicting when it is necessary or desirable to service, replace or refurbish (re-manufacture) the rolling- element bearing.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Rolling-element bearings are often used in critical applications, wherein their failure in service would result in significant commercial loss to the end-user. It is therefore important to be able to predict the residual life of a bearing, in order to plan intervention in a way that avoids failure in service, while minimizing the losses that may arise from taking the machinery in question out of service to replace the bearing. The residual life of a rolling-element bearing is generally determined by fatigue of the operating surfaces as a result of repeated stresses in operational use. Fatigue failure of a rolling-element bearing results from progressive flaking or pitting of the surfaces of the rolling-elements and of the surfaces of the corresponding bearing races. The flaking and pitting may cause seizure of one or more of the rolling-elements, which in turn may generate excessive heat, pressure and friction.

Bearings are selected for a specific application on the basis of a calculated or predicted residual life expectancy compatible with the expected type of service in the application in which they will be used. The length of a bearing's residual life can be predicted from the nominal operating conditions considering speed, load carried, lubrication conditions, etc. For example, a so-called "L-10 life" is the life expectancy in hours during which at least 90% of a specific group of bearings under specific load conditions will still be in service. However, this type of life prediction is considered inadequate for the purpose of maintenance planning for several reasons.

One reason is that the actual operation conditions may be quite different from the nominal conditions. Another reason is that a bearing's residual life may be radically compromised by short-duration events or unplanned events, such as overloads, lubrication failures, installation errors, etc. Yet another reason is that, even if nominal operating conditions are accurately reproduced in service, the inherently random character of the fatigue process may give rise to large statistical variations in the actual residual life of substantially identical bearings.

In order to improve maintenance planning, it is common practice to monitor the values of physical quantities related to vibrations and temperature to which a bearing is subjected in operational use, so as to be able to detect the first signs of impending failure. This monitoring is often referred to as "condition monitoring".

Condition monitoring brings various benefits. A first benefit is that a user is warned of deterioration in the condition of the bearing in a controlled way, thus minimizing the commercial impact. A second benefit is that condition monitoring helps to identify poor installation or poor operating practices, e.g., misalignment, imbalance, high vibration, etc., which will reduce the residual life of the bearing if left uncorrected.

European patent application publication EP 1 164 550 describes an example of a condition monitoring system for monitoring statuses, such as the presence or absence of an abnormality in a machine component such as a bearing.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

An object of the invention is to provide an improved method for predicting the residual life of a rolling-element bearing.

This object is achieved by a method comprising the steps of: measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves (i.e. 20kHz-3Mz, preferably 100-500 kHz or higher) emitted by rolling contact of the rolling-element bearing, recording the measurement data as recorded data, and predicting the residual life of the rolling-element bearing using the recorded data and an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model, whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by the ISO rolling-element bearing life model. A residual life prediction is thereby made using measured load instead of the ISO rolling- element bearing life model's assumed or predicted load, and/or measured lubrication quality instead of the ISO rolling-element bearing life model's assumed or predicted lubrication quality, and expected future operating conditions to predict a probability of failure.

High frequency stress waves accompany the sudden displacement of small amounts of material in a very short period of time. In bearings high frequency stress waves can be generated when impacting, fatigue cracking, scuffing or abrasive wear occurs. The frequency of the stress waves depends on the nature and material properties of the source. An absolute motion sensor, such as an accelerometer, an acoustic emission sensor, or an ultrasonic sensor can be used to detect such high frequency stress waves and thereby provide important information for assistance in fault detection and severity assessment. Due to the dispersion and attenuation of the high frequency stress wave packet, it is desirable to locate a sensor as near to the initiation site as possible. A sensor may therefore be placed in the vicinity of, or on the bearing housing, preferably in the load zone.

Furthermore, a lubrication film can be compromised by excessive load, low viscosity of the lubricant or contamination of the lubricant with particulate material, or a lack of lubricant. If a lubrication film is compromised in this way, high frequency waves will be emitted by rolling contact of the bearing. The condition of the lubrication film can therefore be assessed by detecting high-frequency stress waves that propagate through the bearing rings and the surrounding structure in the event of a breakdown of the lubrication film. The system according to the present invention thereby allows a residual life prediction to be made using measured values indicative of lubricant quality rather than assumed or predicted lubricant quality values.

According to an embodiment of the invention the ISO rolling-element bearing life model is an ISO 281 rolling-element bearing life model, such as ISO 281 :2007.

ISO 281 :2007 specifies methods of calculating the basic dynamic load rating of rolling rolling-element bearings within the size ranges shown in the relevant ISO publications, manufactured from contemporary, commonly used, high quality hardened rolling-element bearing steel, in accordance with good manufacturing practice and basically of conventional design as regards the shape of rolling contact surfaces.

ISO 281 :2007 also specifies methods of calculating the basic rating life, which is the life associated with 90 % reliability, with commonly used high quality material, good manufacturing quality and with conventional operating conditions. In addition, it specifies methods of calculating the modified rating life, in which various reliabilities, lubrication condition, contaminated lubricant and fatigue load of the rolling-element bearing are taken into account.

ISO 281 :2007 does not cover the influence of wear, corrosion and electrical erosion on rolling-element bearing life.

ISO 281 :2007 is not applicable to designs where the rolling-elements operate directly on a shaft or housing surface, unless that surface is equivalent in all respects to the rolling- element bearing ring (or washer) raceway it replaces.

According to a further embodiment of the invention the step of predicting the residual life of the rolling-element bearing includes taking at least one of the following factors, which influence the residual life of a rolling-element bearing, into account: exposure of the rolling-element bearing to corrosion; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to fretting damage; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient load conditions; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient or continuous conditions that cause a lubrication film to break down. Sensors may be used to obtain data indicative of these factors.

According to an embodiment of the invention the method includes the step of obtaining identification data uniquely identifying the rolling-element bearing and recording the identification data together with the recorded data. Such a method allows a quantitative prediction of the residual life of a rolling-element bearing to me made on the basis of information providing a comprehensive view of the rolling-element bearing's history and usage.

According to another embodiment of the invention electronic means is used in the step of recording the data in a database. According to another embodiment of the invention the method comprises the step of refining said mathematical residual life predication model using data concerning one or more similar or substantially identical bearings, for example using data collected from a plurality of bearings, such as recordings made over an extended period of time and/or based on tests on similar or substantially identical bearings.

According to an embodiment of the invention the method comprises the step of updating the residual life prediction as the new data is obtained and/or recorded. The present invention also concerns a computer program product that comprises a computer program containing computer program code means arranged to cause a computer or a processor to execute the steps of a method according to any of the embodiments of the invention stored on a computer-readable medium or a carrier wave. The present invention further concerns a system for predicting the residual life of a rolling- element bearing comprising: at least one sensor for measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of the rolling-element bearing, a data processing unit to record the measured data as recorded data, and a prediction unit to predict the residual life of the rolling-element bearing using the recorded data and an International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by said International Organization for Standardization (ISO) rolling-element bearing life model.

According to an embodiment of the invention the ISO rolling-element bearing life model is an ISO 281 rolling-element bearing life model, such as ISO 281 :2007.

According to a further embodiment of the invention the prediction unit is configured to predict the residual life of the rolling-element bearing taking at least one of the following factors into account: exposure of the rolling-element bearing to corrosion; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to fretting damage; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient load conditions; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient or continuous conditions that cause a lubrication film to break down. According to another embodiment of the invention the system includes an identification sensor configured to obtain identification data uniquely identifying the rolling-element bearing, whereby the data processing unit is configured to record the identification data together with the recorded data.

According to a further embodiment of the invention the data processing unit is configured to electronically record the data in a database.

According to an embodiment of the invention the data processing unit is configured to predict the residual life of the rolling-element bearing also comprises using recorded data concerning one or more similar or substantially identical rolling-element bearings.

According to another embodiment of the invention the prediction unit is configured to update the residual life prediction as the new data is obtained and/or recorded.

The method, system and computer program product according to the present invention may be used to predict the residual life of at least one rolling-element bearing used in automotive, aerospace, railroad, mining, wind, marine, metal producing and other machine applications which require high wear resistance and/or increased fatigue and tensile strength. The rolling bearing may be any one of a cylindrical roller bearing, a spherical roller bearing, a toroidal roller bearing, a taper roller bearing, a conical roller bearing or a needle roller bearing.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

The present invention will hereinafter be further explained by means of non-limiting examples with reference to the appended figures where;

Figure shows a system according to an embodiment of the invention, Figure is a flow diagram showing the steps of a method according to an embodiment of the invention, and

Figure 3 shows a rolling-element bearing, the residual life of which can be predicted using a system or method according to an embodiment of the invention. It should be noted that the drawings have not been drawn to scale and that the dimensions of certain features have been exaggerated for the sake of clarity.

Furthermore, any feature of one embodiment of the invention can be combined with any other feature of any other embodiment of the invention as long as there is no conflict.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF EMBODIMENTS

Figure 1 shows a system 10 for predicting the residual life of a plurality of rolling-element bearings 12 during their use. The illustrated embodiment shows two rolling-element bearings 12, the system 10 according to the present invention may however be used to predict the residual life of one or more rolling-element bearings 12 of any type, and not necessarily all of the same type or size. The system 10 comprises a plurality of sensors 14 configured to measure contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of the rolling-element bearings 12. A sensor 14 may be integrated with a rolling-element bearing 12 or it may be placed in the vicinity of the rolling-element bearing 12.

Rolling contact forces may for example be recorded by a strain sensor 14 located on an outer surface or side of the bearing's outer ring, or on an inner surface or inner side of the bearing's inner ring. Such a strain sensor 14 could be of the resistance type or use the stretching of an optical fibre embedded within the rolling-element bearing 12.

A sensor 14 may be embedded in the bearing ring or attached externally to the bearing housing to monitor a lubricant condition. Lubricant can be degraded by contamination in several ways. For example, a lubricant film may fail to protect a rolling-element bearing 12 against corrosion, either because of its water content or the entrainment of corrosive materials, e.g., acid, salt, etc. As another example, a lubricant film may be contaminated with solid material that has an abrasive effect on the bearing's raceway. A lubrication film can also be compromised by excessive load, low viscosity of the lubricant or contamination of the lubricant with particulate material, or a lack of lubricant. The condition of the lubrication film can be assessed by detecting high-frequency stress waves that propagate through the bearing rings and the surrounding structure in the event of a breakdown of the lubrication film. The system 10 also optionally comprises at least one identification sensor configured to obtain identification data 16 uniquely identifying each rolling-element bearing 12. The identification data 16 may be obtained from a machine-readable identifier associated with a rolling-element bearing 12, and is preferably provided on the bearing 12 itself so that it remains with the rolling-element bearing 12 even if the bearing 12 is removed to a different location or if the rolling-element bearing 12 is refurbished. Examples of such machine-readable identifiers are markings that are engraved, glued, physically integrated, or otherwise fixed to a rolling-element bearing, or a pattern of protrusions or of other deformations located on the rolling-element bearing. Such identifiers may be mechanically, optically, electronically, or otherwise readable by a machine. The identification data 16 may for example be a serial number or an electronic device, such as a Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) tag, securely attached to the rolling-element bearing 12. The RFID tag's circuitry may receive its power from incident electromagnetic radiation generated by an external source, such as the data processing unit 18 or another device (not shown) controlled by the data processing unit 18.

If an appropriate wireless communication protocol such as that described in IEEE802.15.4 is employed, a new bearing installed on site will announce its presence and software developed for the purpose will communicate its unique digital identity. Appropriate database functionality then associates that identity and location with the previous history of that bearing.

Such identification data 16 enables an end-user or a supplier of a rolling-element bearing 12 to verify if a particular rolling-element bearing is a genuine article or a counterfeit product. Illegal manufacturers of bearings may for example try to deceive end-users or Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) by supplying bearings of inferior quality, in packages with a false trademark, so as to give the impression that the bearings are genuine products from a trustworthy source. Worn bearings may be refurbished and then sold without an indication that they have been refurbished and old bearings may be cleaned and polished and sold without the buyer knowing the actual age of the bearings. However, if a bearing is given a false identity, a check of a database of the system according to the present invention may reveal a discrepancy. For example, the identity of a counterfeit product will not exist in the database, or the residual life data obtained under its identification data will not be consistent with the false bearing being checked. The database of the system according to such an embodiment of the present invention in which identification data is obtained, indicates for each legitimate bearing, its age and whether or not the bearing has been refurbished. Thus, the system according to the present invention may facilitate the authentication of a bearing. The system 10 comprises at least one data processing unit 18 configured to electronically record the data obtained by the sensors, and optionally the identification data 16 as recorded data in a database 20.

The database 20 may be maintained by the manufacturer of the rolling-element bearings 12. Thus, each bearing 12 of a batch of similar or substantially identical rolling-element bearings 12 can be tracked. The residual life data gathered in the database 20 for a whole batch of rolling-element bearings 12 enables the manufacturer to extract further information, e.g., about relationships between types or environments of usage versus rates of change of residual life, so as to further improve the service to the end-user.

The system also comprises a prediction unit 22 configured to predict the residual life of each rolling-element bearing 12 using the recorded data and an ISO rolling-element bearing life model, such as ISO 281 :2007, whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by the ISO rolling-element bearing life model.

According to a an embodiment of the invention the prediction unit 22 is configured to predict the residual life of the rolling-element bearing 12 by taking at least one of the following factors into account: exposure of the rolling-element bearing to corrosion; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to fretting damage; exposure of the rolling- element bearing to transient load conditions; exposure of the rolling-element bearing to transient or continuous conditions that cause a lubrication film to break down. At least one sensor 14 may namely be configured to obtain data concerning one or more of the following: vibration, temperature, rolling surface damage, operating speed, load carried, lubrication conditions, humidity, exposure to moisture or ionic fluids, exposure to mechanical shocks, corrosion, fatigue damage, wear.

It should be noted that not all of the components of the system 10 necessarily need to be located in the vicinity of the rolling-element bearings 12. The components of the system 10 may communicate by wired or wireless means, or a combination thereof, and be located in any suitable location. For example, a database containing the recorded data 20 may located at a remote location and communicate with at least one data processing unit 18 located in the same or a different place to the rolling-element bearings 12 by means of a server 24 for example.

The at least one data processing unit 18 optionally pre-processes identification data 16 and the signals received from the sensors 14. The signals may be converted, re-formatted or otherwise processed so as to generate service life data representative of the magnitudes sensed. The at least one data processing unit 18 may be arranged to communicate identification data 16 and the residual data via a communication network, such as a telecommunications network or the Internet for example. A server 24 may log the data in a database 20 in association with identification data 16, thus building a history of the rolling-element bearing 12 by means of accumulating service life data over time.

It should be noted that the at least one data processing unit 18, the prediction unit 22 and/or the database 20 need not necessarily be separate units but may be combined in any suitable manner. For example a personal computer may be used to carry out a method concerning the present invention.

According to an embodiment of the invention a prediction unit 22 may be configured to predict the residual life of a rolling-element bearing 12 or a type of rolling-element bearing, using recorded data concerning one or more similar or substantially identical rolling- element bearings 12. An average residual lifetime for a rolling-element bearing 12 or a type of rolling-element bearing may thereby be obtained.

A prediction unit 22 may be configured to update a residual life prediction using an ISO rolling-element bearing life model and new data concerning measurements of contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact. Such updates may be made periodically, substantially continuously, randomly on request or at any suitable time.

Once a prediction 26 of the residual life of a rolling-element bearing 12 has been made, it may be displayed on a user interface, and/or sent to a user, bearing manufacturer, database and/or another prediction unit 22. Notification of when it is advisable to service, replace or refurbish one or more rolling-element bearings 12 being monitored by the system 10 may be made in any suitable manner, such as via a communication network, via an e-mail or telephone call, a letter, facsimile, alarm signal, or a visiting representative of the manufacturer. The prediction 26 of the residual life of a rolling-element bearing 12 may be used to inform a user of when he/she should replace the rolling-element bearing 12. Intervention to replace the rolling-element bearing 12 is justified, when the cost of intervention (including labour, material and loss of, for example, plant output) is justified by the reduction in the risk cost implicit in continued operation. The risk cost may be calculated as the product of the probability of failure in service on the one hand, and the financial penalty arising from such failure in service, on the other hand.

Figure 2 shows the steps of a method according to an embodiment of the invention. The method comprises the steps of measuring contact forces and/or high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact of the rolling-element bearing, optionally obtaining data uniquely identifying the rolling-element bearing, recording the measurement data (and optionally the identification data) as recorded data, and predicting the residual life of the rolling-element bearing using the recorded data and an ISO rolling-element bearing life model, whereby load is determined from measurements of contact forces and/or lubrication quality is determined from the high frequency stress waves emitted by rolling contact, rather than by the ISO rolling-element bearing life model.

Figure 3 schematically shows an example of a rolling-element bearing 12, the residual life of which can be predicted using a system or method according to an embodiment of the invention. Figure 3 shows a rolling-element bearing 12 comprising an inner ring 28, an outer ring 30 and a set of rolling-elements 32. The inner ring 28 and/or outer ring 30 of a bearing 12, the residual life of which can be predicted using a system or method according to an embodiment of the invention, may be of any size and have any load- carrying capacity. An inner ring 28 and/or an outer ring 30 may for example have a diameter up to a few metres and a load-carrying capacity up to many thousands of tonnes.

Further modifications of the invention within the scope of the claims would be apparent to a skilled person. Even though the claims are directed to a method, system and computer program product for predicting the residual life of a bearing, such a method, system and computer program product may be used for predicting the residual life of another component of rotating machinery, such as a gear wheel.