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Title:
INHALER SYSTEM
Document Type and Number:
WIPO Patent Application WO/2021/122968
Kind Code:
A1
Abstract:
Provided is a system comprising at least one inhaler. Each of the at least one inhaler comprises a use determination system configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler by a subject. The system further comprises a user interface and a processing module. The user interface is configured to enable user-inputting of an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. The processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue a prompt to input the indication based on the at least one value.

Inventors:
MILTON-EDWARDS MARK (GB)
SAFIOTI GUILHERME (SE)
REICH MICHAEL (IL)
Application Number:
PCT/EP2020/086732
Publication Date:
June 24, 2021
Filing Date:
December 17, 2020
Export Citation:
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Assignee:
NORTON WATERFORD LTD (IE)
International Classes:
G16H50/30; A61B5/087; A61M15/00; G16H20/13
Foreign References:
US20130053719A12013-02-28
US20190102522A12019-04-04
US20100250280A12010-09-30
Other References:
P. COLTHORPE ET AL.: "Adding Electronics to the Breezhaler: Satisfying the Needs of Patients and Regulators", RESPIRATORY DRUG DELIVERY, vol. 1, 2018, pages 71 - 80
H.K. REDDEL ET AL., AM J RESPIR CRIT CARE MED, vol. 180, no. 1, 2009, pages 59 - 99
J.H. FRIEDMAN, COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS, vol. 38, no. 4, 2002, pages 367 - 378
J.H. FRIEDMAN ET AL., THE ANNALS OF STATISTICS, vol. 28, no. 2, 2000, pages 337 - 407
Attorney, Agent or Firm:
ELKINGTON AND FIFE LLP (GB)
Download PDF:
Claims:
CLAIMS:

1 . A system comprising: at least one inhaler, each of the at least one inhaler comprising a use determination system configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler by a subject, wherein the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during an inhalation performed by the subject with the at least one inhaler; a user interface configured to enable user-inputting of an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject; and a processing module configured to control the user interface to issue a prompt to input said indication based on said at least one value.

2. The system according to claim 1 , wherein the usage parameter comprises a use of the at least one inhaler by the subject.

3. The system according to claim 2, wherein the use determination system comprises a sensor for detecting an inhalation performed by the subject and/or a mechanical switch configured to be actuated prior to, during, or after use of the at least one inhaler.

4. The system according to any of claims 1 to 3, wherein the processing module is configured to record a number of uses of the at least one inhaler, and control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between said recorded number of uses and a baseline number of uses reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

5. The system according to any of claims 1 to 4, wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a rescue inhaler configured to deliver a rescue medicament.

6. The system according to claim 5, wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a recorded number of rescue inhaler uses exceeding a predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses; optionally wherein the predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses corresponds to a baseline number of rescue inhaler uses made by the subject during an exacerbation-free period.

7. The system according to any claims 1 to 6, wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a maintenance inhaler configured to deliver a maintenance medicament.

8. The system according to claim 7, wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a recorded number of maintenance inhaler uses being less than a predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses; optionally wherein the predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses corresponds to a prescribed number of maintenance inhaler uses specified by a treatment regimen.

9. The system according to any of claims 1 to 8, wherein the use determination system comprises a sensor for sensing the parameter relating to airflow.

10. The system according to any of claims 1 to 9, wherein the system comprises a memory for storing said indication inputted via the user interface.

11. The system according to any of claims 1 to 10, wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between said parameter relating to airflow and an airflow parameter baseline reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

12. The system according to any of claims 1 to 11 , wherein the parameter is at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, and an inhalation duration.

13. The system according to claim 12, wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on: a change in the peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline peak inhalation flow; a change in the inhalation volume relative to a baseline inhalation volume; and/or a change in the inhalation duration relative to a baseline inhalation duration.

14. The system according to any of claims 1 to 13, wherein the user interface is configured to provide a plurality of user-selectable respiratory disease status options, wherein the indication is defined by user-selection of at least one of said status options.

15. The system according to claim 14, wherein the user interface is configured to provide said status options in the form of selectable icons, checkboxes, a slider, and/or a dial.

16. The system according to any of claims 1 to 15, wherein the user interface is at least partly defined by a first user interface of a user device in communication with the at least one inhaler; optionally wherein the user device is at least one selected from a personal computer, a tablet computer, and a smart phone, and/or wherein the processing module is at least partly included in a processor included in the user device.

17. The system according to any of claims 1 to 16, wherein the at least one inhaler comprises an inhaler configured to deliver a medicament selected from albuterol, budesonide, beclomethasone, fluticasone, formoterol, salmeterol, indacaterol, vilanterol, tiotropium, aclidinium, umeclidinium, glycopyrronium, salmeterol combined with fluticasone, beclomethasone combined with albuterol, and budesonide combined with formoterol.

18. A method comprising: receiving at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of at least one inhaler by a subject, the at least one value being determined by a use determination system included in the respective inhaler, wherein the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during an inhalation performed by the subject with the respective inhaler; and controlling a user interface to issue a prompt to input an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject, the prompt being issued based on said at least one value.

19. The method according to claim 18, wherein the usage parameter comprises a use of the at least one inhaler by the subject.

20. The method according to claim 19, comprising recording a number of uses of the inhaler, wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a difference between said recorded number of uses and a baseline number of uses reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

21 . The method according to any of claims 18 to 20, wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a rescue inhaler configured to deliver a rescue medicament; optionally wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a recorded number of rescue inhaler uses exceeding a predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses.

22. The method according to any of claims 18 to 21 , wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a maintenance inhaler configured to deliver a maintenance medicament; optionally wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a recorded number of maintenance inhaler uses being less than a predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses.

23. The method according to any of claims 18 to 22, wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a difference between said parameter relating to airflow and an airflow parameter baseline reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

24. A computer program comprising computer program code which is adapted, when said computer program is run on a computer, to implement the method of any of claims 18 to 23.

Description:
INHALER SYSTEM

FIELD OF THE INVENTION

This disclosure relates to an inhaler system, and particularly systems and methods for assisting monitoring of the respiratory disease being experienced by a subject.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Many respiratory diseases, such as asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), are lifelong conditions where treatment involves the long-term administration of medicaments to manage the patients’ symptoms and to decrease the risks of irreversible changes. There is currently no cure for diseases like asthma and COPD. Treatment takes two forms. First, a maintenance aspect of the treatment is intended to reduce airway inflammation and, consequently, control symptoms in the future. The maintenance therapy is typically provided by inhaled corticosteroids, alone or in combination with long-acting bronchodilators and/or muscarinic antagonists. Secondly, there is also a rescue (or reliever) aspect of the therapy, where patients are given rapid-acting bronchodilators to relieve acute episodes of wheezing, coughing, chest tightness and shortness of breath. Patients suffering from a respiratory disease, such as asthma or COPD may also experience episodic flare-ups, or exacerbations, in their respiratory disease, where symptoms rapidly worsen. In the worst case, exacerbations may be life- threatening.

Monitoring the subject’s respiratory disease is of significant importance, particularly with a view to minimizing the risk of an exacerbation taking place. One difficulty is that patients tend to have difficulty in recalling their symptoms when asked by their doctor, particularly if over a week has passed since the symptoms were experienced.

It is also desirable to obtain relevant information concerning the subject’s respiratory disease in a way which promotes compliance with such data monitoring.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

Accordingly, the present disclosure provides a system comprising at least one inhaler. In an exemplary system, each of the at least one inhaler comprises a use determination system configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler by a subject.

The exemplary system further comprises a user interface and a processing module. The user interface in this example is configured to enable user-inputting of an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. The processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue a prompt to input the indication based on the at least one value. In this manner, the user may be prompted to input the indication when the subject’s inhaler usage indicates that such an indication could be necessary for assessing the subject’s respiratory disease, for example predicting an impending exacerbation. This approach to prompting user-inputting of the indication may reduce the burden on the subject as compared to, for example, the scenario in which the user is routinely prompted to input the indication, irrespective of their inhaler use. This, in turn, may render it more likely that the subject will input the indication when prompted to do so. Thus, improved monitoring of the subject’s respiratory disease may be enabled by the system.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

The present invention will now be described in more detail with reference to the accompanying drawings, which are not intended to be limiting:

Fig. 1 shows a block diagram of an inhaler according to an example;

Fig. 2 shows a graph of flow rate versus time during use of an inhaler according to an example;

Fig. 3 shows a block diagram of a system according to an example;

Fig. 4 shows front and rear views of the exterior of an inhaler according to an example;

Fig. 5 shows an uppermost surface of the top cap of the inhaler shown in Fig. 4;

Fig. 6 schematically depicts pairing the inhaler shown in Fig. 4 with a user device;

Fig. 7 A provides a flowchart of a method according to an example;

Fig. 7B provides a graph-based depiction of a method according to an example;

Fig. 8 shows a flowchart and timeline relating to a method according to a further example;

Fig. 9 shows timeline showing inhalations of a rescue medicament;

Fig. 10 shows a graph of average number of rescue inhalations versus days from an asthma exacerbation;

Fig. 11 shows another graph of average number of rescue inhalations versus number of days from an asthma exacerbation;

Fig. 12 shows four graphs showing the percentage change of number of rescue inhalations and various parameters relating to airflow relative to respective baseline values versus the number of days from an asthma exacerbation;

Fig. 13 shows a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of a model for determining the probability of an asthma exacerbation;

Fig. 14 shows a graph of average number of rescue inhalations versus number of days from a COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 15 shows another graph of average number of rescue inhalations versus number of days from a COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 16 shows a graph of mean peak inhalation flow (L/min) versus days from a COPD exacerbation; Fig. 17 shows another graph of mean peak inhalation flow (L/min) versus days from a COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 18 shows a graph of mean inhalation volume (L) versus days from a COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 19 shows another graph of mean inhalation volume (L) versus days from a COPD exacerbation; Fig. 20 shows a graph of mean inhalation duration (s) versus days from a COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 21 shows another graph of mean inhalation duration (s) versus days from a COPD exacerbation; Fig. 22 shows a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of a model for determining the probability of an impending COPD exacerbation;

Fig. 23 shows a front perspective view of an inhaler;

Fig. 24 shows a cross-sectional interior perspective view of the inhaler shown in Fig. 23;

Fig. 25 provides an exploded perspective view of the example inhaler shown in Fig. 23;

Fig. 26 provides an exploded perspective view of a top cap and electronics module of the inhaler shown in Fig. 23; and

Fig. 27 shows a graph of airflow rate through the example inhaler shown in Fig. 23 versus pressure.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

It should be understood that the detailed description and specific examples, while indicating exemplary embodiments of the apparatus, systems and methods, are intended for purposes of illustration only and are not intended to limit the scope of the invention. These and other features, aspects, and advantages of the apparatus, systems and methods of the present invention will become better understood from the following description, appended claims, and accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the Figures are merely schematic and are not drawn to scale. It should also be understood that the same reference numerals are used throughout the figures to indicate the same or similar parts.

Asthma and COPD are chronic inflammatory disease of the airways. They are both characterized by variable and recurring symptoms of airflow obstruction and bronchospasm. The symptoms include episodes of wheezing, coughing, chest tightness and shortness of breath.

The symptoms are managed by avoiding triggers and by the use of medicaments, particularly inhaled medicaments. The medicaments include inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) and bronchodilators.

Inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) are steroid hormones used in the long-term control of respiratory disorders. They function by reducing the airway inflammation. Examples include budesonide, beclomethasone (dipropionate), fluticasone (propionate or furoate), mometasone (furoate), ciclesonide and dexamethasone (sodium). Parentheses indicate preferred salt or ester forms. Particular mention should be made of budesonide, beclomethasone and fluticasone, especially budesonide, beclomethasone dipropionate, fluticasone propionate and fluticasone furoate.

Different classes of bronchodilators target different receptors in the airways. Two commonly used classes are p2-agonists and anticholinergics. p2-Adrenergic agonists (or “p2-agonists”) act upon the p2-adrenoceptors which induces smooth muscle relaxation, resulting in dilation of the bronchial passages. They tend to be categorised by duration of action. Examples of long-acting p2-agonists (LABAs) include formoterol (fumarate), salmeterol (xinafoate), indacaterol (maleate), bambuterol (hydrochloride), clenbuterol (hydrochloride), olodaterol (hydrochloride), carmoterol (hydrochloride), tulobuterol (hydrochloride) and vilanterol (triphenylacetate). Examples of short-acting p2-agonists (SABA) are albuterol (sulfate) and terbutaline (sulfate). Particular mention should be made of formoterol, salmeterol, indacaterol and vilanterol, especially formoterol fumarate, salmeterol xinafoate, indacaterol maleate and vilanterol triphenylacetate.

Typically short-acting bronchodilators provide a rapid relief from acute bronchoconstriction (and are often called “rescue” or “reliever” medicines), whereas long-acting bronchodilators help control and prevent longer-term symptoms. However, some rapid-onset long-acting bronchodilators may be used as rescue medicines, such as formoterol (fumarate). Thus, a rescue medicine provides relief from acute bronchoconstriction. The rescue medicine is taken as-needed/prn (pro re nata). The rescue medicine may also be in the form of a combination product, e.g. ICS-formoterol (fumarate), typically budesonide- formoterol (fumarate) or beclomethasone (dipropionate)-formoterol (fumarate). Thus, the rescue medicine is preferably a SABA or a rapid-acting LABA, more preferably albuterol (sulfate) or formoterol (fumarate), and most preferably albuterol (sulfate).

Anticholinergics (or “antimuscarinics”) block the neurotransmitter acetylcholine by selectively blocking its receptor in nerve cells. On topical application, anticholinergics act predominantly on the M3 muscarinic receptors located in the airways to produce smooth muscle relaxation, thus producing a bronchodilatory effect. Examples of long-acting muscarinic antagonists (LAMAs) include tiotropium (bromide), oxitropium (bromide), aclidinium (bromide), umeclidinium (bromide), ipratropium (bromide) glycopyrronium (bromide), oxybutynin (hydrochloride or hydrobromide), tolterodine (tartrate), trospium (chloride), solifenacin (succinate), fesoterodine (fumarate) and darifenacin (hydrobromide). Particular mention should be made of tiotropium, aclidinium, umeclidinium and glycopyrronium, especially tiotropium bromide, aclidinium bromide, umeclidinium bromide and glycopyrronium bromide.

A number of approaches have been taken in preparing and formulating these medicaments for delivery by inhalation, such as via a dry powder inhaler (DPI), a pressurized metered dose inhaler (pMDI) or a nebulizer.

According to the GINA (Global Initiative for Asthma) Guidelines, a step-wise approach is taken to the treatment of asthma. At step 1 , which represents a mild form of asthma, the patient is given an as needed SABA, such as albuterol sulfate. The patient may also be given an as-needed low-dose ICS- formoterol, or a low-dose ICS whenever the SABA is taken. At step 2, a regular low-dose ICS is given alongside the SABA, or an as-needed low-dose ICS-formoterol. At step 3, a LABA is added. At step 4, the doses are increased and at step 5, further add-on treatments are included such as an anticholinergic or a low-dose oral corticosteroid. Thus, the respective steps may be regarded as treatment regimens, which regimens are each configured according to the degree of acute severity of the respiratory disease. COPD is a leading cause of death worldwide. It is a heterogeneous long-term disease comprising chronic bronchitis, emphysema and also involving the small airways. The pathological changes occurring in patients with COPD are predominantly localised to the airways, lung parenchyma and pulmonary vasculature. Phenotypically, these changes reduce the healthy ability of the lungs to absorb and expel gases.

Bronchitis is characterised by long-term inflammation of the bronchi. Common symptoms may include wheezing, shortness of breath, cough and expectoration of sputum, all of which are highly uncomfortable and detrimental to the patient’s quality of life. Emphysema is also related to long-term bronchial inflammation, wherein the inflammatory response results in a breakdown of lung tissue and progressive narrowing of the airways. In time, the lung tissue loses its natural elasticity and becomes enlarged. As such, the efficacy with which gases are exchanged is reduced and respired air is often trapped within the lung. This results in localised hypoxia, and reduces the volume of oxygen being delivered into the patient’s bloodstream, per inhalation. Patients therefore experience shortness of breath and instances of breathing difficulty.

Patients living with COPD experience a variety, if not all, of these symptoms on a daily basis. Their severity will be determined by a range of factors but most commonly will be correlated to the progression of the disease. These symptoms, independent of their severity, are indicative of stable COPD and this disease state is maintained and managed through the administration of a variety drugs. The treatments are variable, but often include inhaled bronchodilators, anticholinergic agents, long-acting and shortacting p2-agonists and corticosteroids. The medicaments are often administered as a single therapy or as combination treatments.

Patients are categorised by the severity of their COPD using categories defined in the GOLD Guidelines (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease, Inc.). The categories are labelled A-D and the recommended first choice of treatment varies by category. Patient group A are recommended a shortacting muscarinic antagonist (SAMA) prn or a short-acting p2-aginist (SABA) prn. Patient group B are recommended a long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) or a long-acting p2-aginist (LABA). Patient group C are recommended an inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) + a LABA, or a LAMA. Patient group D are recommended an ICS + a LABA and/or a LAMA.

Patients suffering from respiratory diseases like asthma or COPD suffer from periodic exacerbations beyond the baseline day-to-day variations in their condition. An exacerbation is an acute worsening of respiratory symptoms that require additional therapy, i.e. a therapy going beyond their maintenance therapy.

For asthma, the additional therapy for a moderate exacerbation are repeated doses of SABA, oral corticosteroids and/or controlled flow oxygen (the latter of which requires hospitalization). A severe exacerbation adds an anticholinergic (typically ipratropium bromide), nebulized SABA or IV magnesium sulfate. For COPD, the additional therapy for a moderate exacerbation are repeated doses of SABA, oral corticosteroids and/or antibiotics. A severe exacerbation adds controlled flow oxygen and/or respiratory support (both of which require hospitalization).

An exacerbation within the meaning of the present disclosure includes both moderate and severe exacerbations.

Provided is a system comprising at least one inhaler. Each of the at least one inhaler comprises a use determination system configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler by a subject. The system further comprises a user interface and a processing module. The user interface is configured to enable user-inputting of an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. The processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue a prompt to input the indication based on the at least one value.

The user may be prompted to input the indication when the subject’s inhaler usage indicates that such an indication could be necessary for assessing the subject’s respiratory disease, for example predicting an impending exacerbation.

This approach to prompting user-inputting of the indication may reduce the burden on the subject as compared to, for example, the scenario in which the user is routinely prompted to input the indication, irrespective of their inhaler use. The approach correspondingly alleviates the risk of the subject stopping inputting the indication, particularly when the subject is feeling well, which can occur as a result of the subject tiring of regularly inputting the indication, e.g. daily, ortiring of receiving regular, e.g. daily, reminders to input the indication.

By issuing the prompt based on the at least one value, it may be more likely that the subject will input the indication when prompted to do so. Thus, improved monitoring of the subject’s respiratory disease may be enabled by the system.

Each of the at least one inhaler may, for example, comprise a medicament reservoir containing medicament.

Whilst not essential in the context of the present disclosure, the at least one inhaler may comprise an inhaler and at least one further inhaler. The at least one further inhaler may be configured to deliver one or more further medicaments to the subject. This would be the same subject to whom the medicament is administered via the inhaler. One or more (or each) of the at least one further inhaler may, for example, comprise a respective further medicament reservoir containing the further medicament. The medicament and the further medicament may be the same as or different from each other, but usually they will be different from each other.

In a non-limiting example, the medicament is a rescue medicament for use by the subject as needed, and the further medicament is a maintenance medicament which is used by the subject according to a predetermined treatment regimen.

The rescue medicament is as defined hereinabove and is typically a SABA or a rapid-onset LABA, such as formoterol (fumarate). The rescue medicament may also be in the form of a combination product, e.g. ICS-formoterol (fumarate), typically budesonide-formoterol (fumarate) or beclomethasone (d i p ro p i o n at e) -f o rm ote ro I (f u m a rate) .

In a non-limiting example, the medicament is selected from albuterol (sulfate), budesonide, beclomethasone (dipropionate), fluticasone (propionate or furoate), formoterol (fumarate), salmeterol (xinafoate), indacaterol (maleate), vilanterol (triphenylacetate), tiotropium (bromide), aclidinium (bromide), umeclidinium (bromide), glycopyrronium (bromide), salmeterol (xinafoate) combined with fluticasone (propionate or furoate), beclomethasone (dipropionate) combined with albuterol (sulfate), and budesonide combined with formoterol (fumarate).

More generally, the medicament, the further medicament, and any other medicaments included in inhalers of the system, may comprise any suitable active pharmaceutical ingredient. Thus, any class of medication for treating the chronic respiratory disease may be delivered by, in other words housed within, the inhaler(s) included in the system.

At least one, e.g. each, inhaler included in the system comprises a use determination system. The use determination system is configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler.

The usage parameter may, for instance, comprise a use of, such as an inhalation of the medicament performed by the subject using, the respective inhaler.

In an embodiment, the processing module is configured to record a number of uses of the at least one inhaler determined by the use determination system, and control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between the recorded number of uses and a baseline number of uses reaching or exceeding a given, e.g. predetermined, threshold.

Thus, the prompt to input the indication may be issued based on excessive inhaler, e.g. rescue inhaler, usage.

Alternatively or additionally, the prompt may be issued based on the time of day or night at which a use or uses of the at least one inhaler, e.g. rescue inhaler, are determined by the use determination system. In such an example, the use determination system may, for instance, time-stamp each use of the respective inhaler, and the at least one value may comprise the time-stamp of the use. Night time rescue inhaler usage, for example, has been found to be indicative of an impending exacerbation, as will be further described herein below. Accordingly, determination of a growing number of night time inhaler uses may represent an appropriate metric on which to (at least partly) base prompting the user to input the indication.

The use determination system may, for example, comprise a sensor for detecting inhalation of the respective medicament performed by the subject and/or a mechanical switch configured to be actuated priorto, during, or after use of the respective inhaler. In this way, the use determination system enables recording of each use, or attempted use, of the inhaler.

Such a sensor may, for example, comprise a pressure sensor, such as an absolute or differential pressure senor.

Determining usage of the inhaler via the use determination system may represent data which is pertinent to the status of the subject’s respiratory disease. When, for example, the system comprises a rescue inhaler, the number of rescue inhalations can represent a diagnostic factor in determining the level of risk to the subject, since the subject may use the rescue inhaler more as their condition deteriorates, e.g. as an exacerbation approaches.

Thus, in an embodiment the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt for the user/subject to input the indication at least partly based on a recorded number of rescue inhaler uses exceeding a predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses.

This assessment may be made with respect to a given (first) time period in which the number of rescue inhaler uses is counted. This first time period corresponds to the sample period over which the number of inhalations is counted. The first time period may be, for example, 1 to 15 days. This sample period may be selected such that the period allows for an indicative number of rescue inhalations to occur. A sample period which is too short may not permit sufficient inhalation data to be collected, whilst a sample period which is too long may have an averaging effect which renders shorter term trends which are of diagnostic or predictive significance less distinguishable.

The predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses may, for example, correspond to a baseline number of rescue inhaler uses made by the subject during an exacerbation-free period.

The number of maintenance inhalations using a maintenance inhaler may alternatively or additionally represent useful information for determining the level of acute risk, since fewer maintenance inhalations (indicative of poorer compliance with a maintenance medication treatment regimen) may result in increased risk to the subject, e.g. an increased risk of an exacerbation. Thus, in an embodiment the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a recorded number of maintenance inhaler uses being less than a predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses.

This assessment may, similarly to the above-described number of rescue inhaler uses example, be made with respect to a given time period in which the number of maintenance inhaler uses is counted. A suitable time period for determining compliance with a maintenance medication treatment regimen may be, for instance, 1 to 15 days.

The predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses may, for instance, correspond to a prescribed number of maintenance inhaler uses specified by a treatment regimen.

Alternatively or additionally, the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during inhalation of the medicament performed by the subject.

To this end, the use determination system may, for example, comprise a sensor for sensing the parameter. In this example, the sensor for sensing the parameter may be the same as or different from the above-described sensor for determining a use of the inhaler.

The parameter relating to airflow during the inhalation(s) may provide an indicator of the level of risk to the subject, e.g. including the likelihood of an impending exacerbation, since the parameter may act as a proxy for the lung function and/or lung health of the subject.

In an embodiment, the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between the parameter relating to airflow and an airflow parameter baseline reaching or exceeding a given, e.g. predetermined, threshold.

Thus, the prompt can be appropriately issued (at least partly) on the basis of a change in the parameter relating to airflow being indicative of worsening of the subject’s lung function and/or lung health.

Any suitable parameter relating to airflow can be considered. In a non-limiting example, the parameter is at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, a time to peak inhalation flow, and an inhalation duration.

In a non-limiting example, the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a change in the peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline peak inhalation flow, a change in the inhalation volume relative to a baseline inhalation volume; and/or a change in the inhalation duration relative to a baseline inhalation duration. The baseline parameter relating to airflow, e.g. the baseline peak inhalation flow, the baseline inhalation volume, and the baseline inhalation duration, may, for example, correspond to a baseline value for the respective parameter during an exacerbation-free period.

In certain examples, the use determination system employs the sensor in combination with the mechanical switch in order to determine the parameter relating to airflow during a use of the inhaler by the subject.

The inhaler may, for instance, comprise a mouthpiece through which the user performs the inhalation, and a mouthpiece cover. In such an example, the mechanical switch may be configured to be actuated when the mouthpiece cover is moved to expose the mouthpiece.

More generally, the system also comprises a processing module which receives the at least one value. The processing module then controls the user interface to prompt the user/subject to input the indication of a status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject.

The user interface is thus configured to enable user-inputting of the indication, and is further configured to output the prompt.

The user interface may, for example, comprise a first user interface configured to enable using-inputting of the indication, and a second user interface configured to, when controlled by the processing module, output the prompt.

The first and second user interface may, for instance, be included in the same user device.

In a non-limiting example, the user interface comprises a touchscreen. In such an example, the second user interface comprises the display of the touchscreen, and the first user interface comprises the touch inputting system of the touchscreen. Such a touchscreen enables facile user-inputting and prompting, and is thus particularly beneficial in the scenario in which the subject is suffering from worsening symptoms, as indicated by the usage parameter.

As an alternative or in addition to the prompt being issued via the touchscreen, the second user interface may comprise a loudspeaker for issuing, when controlled by the processing module, an audible prompt.

In an embodiment, the user interface, e.g. the first user interface, is configured to provide a plurality of user-selectable respiratory disease status options. In this case, the indication is defined by user- selection of at least one of the status options.

The user interface may, for example, prompt the user or subject to provide the indication via a pop-up notification link to complete a short questionnaire. In a non-limiting example, the user interface displays a questionnaire comprising questions whose answers correspond to the indication. The user, e.g. the subject or his/her health care provider, may input the answers to the questions using the user interface.

In an embodiment, the system comprises a memory, for example a memory included in the processing module, for storing each indication inputted via the user interface. The indication may be subsequently retrieved, for example to support a dialogue between the subject and his/her healthcare provider. In this manner, the subject’s recollection of a previous status of their respiratory disease need not be relied upon for the purposes of the dialogue.

The questionnaire may be relatively short, i.e. with relatively few questions, in order to minimize burden on the subject. The number and nature of the questions may nevertheless be such as to ensure that the indication enables the clinical condition of the subject, e.g. including the likelihood of the subject experiencing an exacerbation, to be reliably assessed. This assessment may also take inhaler usage and the parameter relating to airflow into account, as will be described in more detail herein below.

Particular mention is made of inputting the indication in the form of a six-point/six-question questionnaire because the requirement for sufficient clinical information is balanced with avoiding placing too much burden on the subject, particularly as he/she may be suffering from worsening symptoms, as indicated by the usage parameter.

More generally, the object of the questionnaire is to ascertain a contemporaneous or relatively recent (e.g. within the past 24 hours) indication in orderto obtain “in the moment” understanding of the subject’s well-being (in respect of their respiratory disease) with a few timely questions which are relatively quickly answered. The questionnaire may be translated into the local language of the subject.

Conventional control questionnaires, and especially the most established being ACQ/T (Asthma Control Questionnaire / Test) in asthma, or CAT (COPD Assessment Test) in COPD tend to focus on patient recall of symptoms in the past. Recall bias, and a focus on the past instead of the present is likely to negatively influence their value for the purposes of predictive analysis.

The following is provided by way of non-limiting example of such a questionnaire. The subject may select from the following status options for each question: All of the time (5); Most of the time (4); Some of the time (3); A little (2); None (1).

1 . How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ shortness of breath?

2. How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ coughing?

3. How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ wheezing?

4. How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ chest tightness?

5. How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ night symptoms/affecting sleep?

6. How ‘often are you experiencing’, or ‘Rate your’ limitation at work, school or home? An alternative example questionnaire is also provided:

1 . Are you having more respiratory symptoms than usual (Y/N)? If yes:

2. More chest tightness or shortness of breath (Y/N)?

3. More cough (Y/N)?

4. More wheezing (Y/N)?

5. Is it affecting your sleep (Y/N)?

6. Is it limiting your activities at home/work/school (Y/N)?

Still another example questionnaire is also provided:

1 . Are you having more: chest tightness or shortness of breath? (Y/N) cough? (Y/N) wheezing? (Y/N)

2. Are you sleeping well? (Y/N)

3. Are you limiting your daily activities in any way? (Y/N)

4. Have you had an infection or allergen (e.g. cat, pollen) exposure? (Y/N)

Yet another example questionnaire is also provided:

1. Are you having:

More chest tightness or shortness of breath? (Y/N)

More cough? (Y/N)

More wheezing? (Y/N)

2. Are you sleeping well? (Y/N)

3. Are you limiting your activities at home/work/school? (Y/N)

4. Have you had an infection? (Y/N)

If yes, did you take any antibiotics and/or steroids? (Y/N)

5. Have you had an allergen (e.g. cat, pollen) exposure recently? (Y/N)

6. (Optional) What is your most recent hospital anxiety and depression scale (HADS) score?

The answers to the questions may, for example, be used to calculate a score, which score is included in, or corresponds to, the indication of the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject.

More generally, a memory included in the system is, in an embodiment, configured to store the indication, e.g. the answers to the questionnaire and/or the score, inputted via the user interface. Thus, the stored indication can be later retrieved for the patient-to-healthcare provider dialogue.

In an embodiment, the user interface is configured to provide the status options in the form of selectable icons, e.g. emoji-type icons, checkboxes, a slider, and/or a dial. In this way, the user interface may provide a straightforward and intuitive way of inputting the indication of the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. Such intuitive inputting may be particularly advantageous when the subject himself/herself is inputting the indication, since the relatively facile user-input may be minimally hampered by any worsening of the subject’s respiratory disease.

Any suitable user interface may be employed for the purpose of enabling user-input of the indication of the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. For example, the user interface may comprise or consist of a (first) user interface of a user device. The user device may be, for example, a personal computer, a tablet computer, and/or a smart phone. When the user device is a smart phone, the user interface may, for instance, correspond to the touchscreen of the smart phone.

In a non-limiting example, the system continuously monitors, via the use determination system, for excessive inhaler use, unusual time of day, e.g. night time, use, and/or changes in the parameter relating to airflow. If there is a sufficiently large change in any one of these, then the processing module will (automatically) control the user interface to issue the prompt. Whether or not the change is sufficiently large may be assessed with reference to a baseline or threshold, as previously described. The prompt may, for instance, comprise prompting the user to complete a questionnaire, such as one of the simple Yes/No questionnaires described above.

In some non-limiting examples, the system may be further configured such that the indication can be inputted via the user interface when the user opts to so input the indication. Thus, the user, e.g. the subject, need not wait for the prompt (based on the at least one value) in order to input the indication.

Alternatively or additionally, the processing module may be configured to issue the prompt based on the at least one value of the usage parameter being such as not to cause prompting of the user to input the indication for a predetermined time period, e.g. 5 to 14 days, such as 7 days.

In other words, the prompt to input the indication, e.g. by completing the above-described questionnaire, may be issued when no flags indicating worsening of the subject’s condition are triggered during the predetermined time period, e.g. 7 days.

This may assist to a) ensure that there are no symptoms that the patient is having that the use determination system (use and/or inhalation parameter) is missing; and/or b) to capture if a patient is well (e.g. all ‘no’ answers to the above-described questionnaire) and that the indication and the at least one value of the usage parameter (use and/or inhalation parameter) are thus aligned with each other; and/or c) as a way to capture whether and when the patient is recovering.

The processing module may include a general purpose processor, a special purpose processor, a DSP, a microcontroller, an integrated circuit, and/or the like that may be configured using hardware and/or software to perform the functions described herein for the processing module. The processing module may be included partially or entirely in the inhaler, a user device, and/or a server. The processing module may include a power supply, memory, and/or a battery.

In a non-limiting example, the processing module is at least partly included in a first processing module included in the user device. In other non-limiting examples, the processing module is not included in a user device. The processing module (or at least part of the processing module) may, for example, be provided in a server, e.g. a remote server. For example, the processing module may be implemented on any combination of the inhaler, the user device, and/or a remote server. As such, any combination of the functions or processing described with reference to the processing module may be performed by a processing module residing on the inhaler, the user device, and/or a server. For instance, the use determination system residing on the inhaler may capture usage information at the inhaler (e.g. such as a use or manipulation of the inhaler by the user (such as the opening of a mouthpiece cover and/or the actuation of a switch) and/or the parameter relating to airflow during a use of the inhaler), while the processing module residing on any combination of the inhaler, the user device, and/or server may determine inhalation parameters based on the parameter relating to airflow during a use of the inhaler and/or determine notifications, such as the above-described prompt, associated with the uses and/or inhalation parameters.

Further provided is a method comprising: receiving at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of at least one inhaler by a subject, the at least one value being determined by a use determination system included in the respective inhaler; and controlling a user interface to issue a prompt to input an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject, the prompt being issued based on the at least one value.

The prompt may cause the user, e.g. the subject, to input the indication, for example using the user interface, as previously described.

In an embodiment, the method further comprises storing the indication inputted via the user interface.

The stored indication may be retrievable, for example to support a dialogue between the subject and his/her healthcare provider. In this manner, the subject’s recollection of a previous status of their respiratory disease need not be relied upon in the dialogue, as previously described. Such a dialogue may be face-to-face, or may be a remote consultation.

In a non-limiting example, the indication and the usage parameter(s), e.g. the recorded uses and parameters relating to airflow, may be stored, e.g. in a memory included in the processing module, and displayed on a dashboard. Such a dashboard may be viewable by the subject’s healthcare provider, e.g. via a further user interface. A determined exacerbation probability based on the indication and the usage parameter(s), and/or an initial exacerbation probability determination based on the usage parameter(s) without the indication, may also, in certain examples, be displayed on the dashboard.

Determination of the probability of an impending exacerbation will be described in more detail herein below.

A computer program is also provided, which computer program comprises computer program code which is adapted, when the computer program is run on a computer, to implement the method. In an example, the computer code may reside partially or entirely on a user device (e.g. as a mobile application residing on the user device).

The embodiments described herein for the system are applicable to the method and the computer program. Moreover, the embodiments described for the method and computer program are applicable to the system.

Fig. 1 shows a block diagram of an inhaler 100 according to a non-limiting example. The inhaler 100 comprises a use determination system 12 which determines the at least one value of the usage parameter relating to use of the inhaler 100.

The at least one value may be communicated from the inhaler 100 to the processing module (not visible in Fig. 1) in any suitable manner.

In the non-limiting example shown in Figs. 1 and 3, the at least one value is received by a transmission module 14, as represented in Fig. 1 by the arrow between the block representing the use determination system 12 and the block representing the transmission module 14. The transmission module 14 encrypts data based on the at least one value, and transmits the encrypted data, as represented in Fig. 1 by the arrow pointing away from the transmission module 14 block. The transmission of the encrypted data by the transmission module 14 may, for example, be wireless.

The use determination system 12 may include one or more components used to determine the at least one value. For example, the use determination system 12 may, for instance, comprise a mechanical switch configured to be actuated prior to, during, or after use of the respective inhaler.

The usage parameter may, for example, comprise a use of the respective inhaler 100 performed by the subject. In a particular non-limiting example, the at least one value may comprise “TRUE” when use of, for example an inhalation using, the respective inhaler 100 has been determined, or “FALSE” when no such use of the respective inhaler 100 is determined.

In a non-limiting example, the inhaler 100 comprises a medicament reservoir (not visible in Fig. 1), and a dose metering assembly (not visible in Fig. 1) configured to meter a dose of the medicament from the reservoir. The use determination system 12 may be configured to register the metering of the dose by the dose metering assembly, each metering being thereby indicative of a use (or attempted use) of the inhaler 100. One non-limiting example of the dose metering assembly will be explained in greater detail with reference to Figs. 23-26.

Alternatively or additionally, the use determination system 12 may register each inhalation in different manners and/or based on additional or alternative feedback. For example, the use determination system 12 is configured to register a use or attempted use of the inhaler by the subject when the feedback from a suitable sensor (not visible in Fig. 1) indicates that an inhalation by the subject has occurred, for example when a pressure change measurement or flow rate exceeds a predefined threshold associated with an inhalation, and/or when a duration of a pressure change above a threshold exceeds a predefined time threshold associated with a low duration inhalation or a good duration inhalation.

A sensor, such as a pressure sensor, may, for example, be included in the use determination system 12 in order to determine the parameter relating to airflow during use, e.g. each use, of the inhaler. When a pressure sensor is included in the use determination system 12, the pressure sensor may, for instance, be used to confirm that, or assess the degree to which, a dose metered via the dose metering assembly is inhaled by the subject, as will be described in greater detail with reference to Figs. 2 and 23-27.

More generally, the use determination system 12 may comprise a sensor for detecting a parameter relating to airflow during inhalation of the respective medicament performed by the subject. In other words, the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during an inhalation performed by the subject with the inhaler.

The parameter may comprise, for example, at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, a time to peak inhalation flow, and an inhalation duration. In such examples, the at least one value may comprise a numerical value for the peak inhalation flow, the inhalation volume, the time to peak inhalation flow, and/or the inhalation duration.

A pressure sensor may be particularly suitable for measuring the parameter, since the airflow during inhalation by the subject may be monitored by measuring the associated pressure changes. As will be explained in greater detail with reference to Figs. 23-27, the pressure sensor may be located within or placed in fluid communication with a flow pathway through which air and the medicament is drawn by the subject during inhalation. Alternative ways of measuring the parameter, such as via a suitable flow sensor, can also be used.

An inhalation may be associated with a decrease in the pressure in the airflow channel of the inhaler relative to when no inhalation is taking place. The point at which the pressure change is at its greatest may correspond to the peak inhalation flow. The pressure sensor may detect this point in the inhalation. The pressure change associated with an inhalation may alternatively or additionally be used to determine an inhalation volume. This may be achieved by, for example, using the pressure change during the inhalation measured by the pressure sensor to first determine the flow rate over the time of the inhalation, from which the total inhaled volume may be derived.

The pressure change associated with an inhalation may alternatively or additionally be used to determine an inhalation duration. The time may be recorded, for example, from the first decrease in pressure measured by the pressure sensor, coinciding with the start of the inhalation, to the pressure returning to a pressure corresponding to no inhalation taking place.

The inhalation parameter may alternatively or additionally include the time to peak inhalation flow. This time to peak inhalation flow parameter may be recorded, for example, from the first decrease in pressure measured by the pressure sensor, coinciding with the start of the inhalation, to the pressure reaching a minimum value corresponding to peak flow.

Fig. 2 shows a graph of flow rate 16 versus time 18 during use of an inhaler 100 according to a nonlimiting example. The use determination system 12 in this example comprises a mechanically operated switch in the form of a switch which is actuated when a mouthpiece cover of the inhaler 100 is opened. The mouthpiece cover is opened at point 20 on the graph. In this example, the use determination system 12 further comprises a pressure sensor.

When the mouthpiece cover is opened, the use determination system 12 is woken out of an energysaving sleep mode, and a new inhalation event is registered. The inhalation event is also assigned an open time corresponding to how much time, for example in milliseconds, elapses since the inhaler 100 wakes from the sleep mode. Point 22 corresponds to the cap closing or 60 seconds having elapsed since point 20. At point 22, detection ceases.

Once the mouthpiece cover is open, the use determination system 12 looks for a change in the air pressure, as detected using the pressure sensor. The start of the air pressure change is registered as the inhale event time 24. The point at which the air pressure change is greatest corresponds to the peak inhalation flow 26. The use determination system 12 records the peak inhalation flow 26 as a flow of air, measured in units of 100 ml_ per minute, which flow of air is transformed from the air pressure change. Thus, in this example, the at least one value includes a numerical value of the peak inhalation flow in units of 100 ml_ per minute.

The time to peak inhalation flow 28 corresponds to the time taken in milliseconds for the peak inhalation flow 26 to be reached. The inhalation duration 30 corresponds to the duration of the entire inhalation in milliseconds. The area under the graph 32 corresponds to the inhalation volume in milliliters. In a non-limiting example, the inhaler 100 is configured such that, for a normal inhalation, the medicament is dispensed approximately 0.5 seconds following the start of the inhalation. A subject’s inhalation only reaching peak inhalation flow after the 0.5 seconds have elapsed, such as after approximately 1 .5 seconds, may be partially indicative of the subject having difficulty in controlling their respiratory disease. Such a time to reach peak inhalation flow may, for example, be indicative of a heightened level of acute risk to the subject, e.g. the subject facing an impending exacerbation. The prompt forthe userto enterthe indication may thus, for example, be appropriately issued (at least partly) based on the time to reach peak inhalation flow being longer than a given predetermined time to reach peak inhalation flow.

More generally, the use determination system 12 may employ respective sensors (e.g. respective pressure sensors) for registering an inhalation/use of the inhaler and detecting the inhalation parameter, or a common sensor (e.g. a common pressure sensor) which is configured to fulfill both inhalation/use registering and inhalation parameter detecting functions.

Any suitable sensor may be included in the use determination system 12, such as one or more pressure sensors, temperature sensors, humidity sensors, orientation sensors, acoustic sensors, and/or optical sensors. The pressure sensor(s) may include a barometric pressure sensor (e.g. an atmospheric pressure sensor), a differential pressure sensor, an absolute pressure sensor, and/or the like. The sensors may employ microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) and/or nanoelectromechanical systems (NEMS) technology.

In a non-limiting example, the use determination system 12 comprises a differential pressure sensor. The differential pressure sensor may, for instance, comprise a dual port type sensor for measuring a pressure difference across a section of the air passage through which the subject inhales. A single port gauge type sensor may alternatively be used. The latter operates by measuring the difference in pressure in the air passage during inhalation and when there is no flow. The difference in the readings corresponds to the pressure drop associated with inhalation.

In another non-limiting example, the use determination system 12 includes an acoustic sensor. The acoustic sensor in this example is configured to sense a noise generated when the subject inhales through the respective inhaler 100. The acoustic sensor may include, for example, a microphone. The respective inhaler 100 may, for instance, comprise a capsule which is arranged to spin when the subject inhales though the device; the spinning of the capsule generating the noise for detection by the acoustic sensor. The spinning of the capsule may thus provide a suitably interpretable noise, e.g. rattle, for deriving the at least one value, e.g. use and/or inhalation parameter data.

An algorithm may, for example, be used to interpret the acoustic data in order to determine use data and/or the parameter relating to airflow during the inhalation. For instance, an algorithm as described by P. Colthorpe et al., “Adding Electronics to the Breezhaler: Satisfying the Needs of Patients and Regulators”, Respiratory Drug Delivery 2018, 1 , 71-80 may be used. Once the generated sound is detected, the algorithm may process the raw acoustic data to generate the use and/or inhalation parameter data.

Fig. 3 shows a block diagram of a system 10 according to a non-limiting example. The system 10 may, for example, be alternatively termed “an inhaler assembly”.

As shown in Fig. 3, the system 10 comprises a first inhaler 100A comprising a first use determination system 12A, and a first transmission module 14A. This exemplary system 10 further comprises a second inhaler 100B comprising a second use determination system 12B, and a second transmission module 14B. The first inhaler 100A delivers a first medicament, and the second inhaler 100B delivers a second medicament which is different from the first medicament.

The exemplary system 10 depicted in Fig. 3 further comprises a third inhaler 100C comprising a third use determination system 12C, and a third transmission module 14C. The third inhaler 100C delivers a third medicament which is different from the first and second medicaments. In other examples, no third inhaler 100C is included in the system 10, or a fourth, fifth, etc. inhaler (not visible) is included in addition to the first inhaler 100A, the second inhaler 100B, and the third inhaler 100C. Alternatively or additionally, the system 10 includes a plurality of first inhalers 100A, a plurality of second inhalers 100B, and so on.

As shown in Fig. 3, the processing module 34 is configured to receive the respective encrypted data transmitted from one or more, e.g. each, of the transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C, as represented in Fig. 3 by the arrows between each of the blocks corresponding to the transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C and the block corresponding to the processing module 34. The first, second, and/or third encrypted data may be transmitted wirelessly to the processing module 34, as previously described. The processing module 34 may thus comprise a suitable receiver or transceiver for receiving the encrypted data. The receiver or transceiver of processing module 34 may be configured to implement the same communication protocols as transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C and may thus include similar communication hardware and software as transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C, as described herein.

Bluetooth communications between one or more, e.g. each, of the inhaler(s) 100A, 100B, 100C and the processing module 34 may enable relatively rapid transmission of the data from the former to the latter. For example, the longest time taken for the data to be transmitted to the processing module 34 may be around 3 minutes when the respective inhaler 100A, 100B, 100C is in Bluetooth range of the processing module 34.

The processing module 34 may comprise a suitable processor and memory configured to perform the functions/methods described herein. For example, the processor may be a general purpose processor programmed with computer executable instructions for implementing the functions of the processing module 34. The processor may be implemented using a microprocessor or microcontroller configured to perform the functions of the processing module 34. The processor may be implemented using an embedded processor or digital signal processor configured to perform the functions of the processing module 34. In an example, the processor may be implemented on a smartphone or other consumer electronic device that is capable of communicating with transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C and performing the functions of the processing module 34 as described herein. For example, the processing module 34 may be implemented on a smart phone or consumer electronic device that includes an application (e.g. app) that causes the processor of the smartphone or other consumer electronic device to perform the functions of the processing module 34 as described herein.

The system 10 further comprises a user interface 38. The user interface 38 is configured to enable inputting of the indication of the status of the indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. Moreover, the user interface 38 is controlled by the processing module 34 to issue the prompt for the user, e.g. the subject, to input the indication based on the at least one value, as previously described.

The arrow pointing from the block representing the processing module 34 to the block representing the user interface 38 is intended to represent the control signals) which cause or causes the user interface 38 to issue the prompt. In this respect, the user interface 38 may comprise any suitable display, screen, for example touchscreen, etc. which is capable of displaying the prompt. Alternatively or additionally, the prompt may be provided by the user interface 38 via a sound or audio message. In such an example, the user interface 38 comprises a suitable loudspeaker for delivering the sound or audio message. Numerous ways of issuing the prompt can be used.

In the non-limiting example shown in Fig. 3, the arrow pointing from the block representing the user interface 38 to the block representing the processing module 34 is intended to represent the processing module 34 receiving data relating to the indication which is inputted via the user interface 38.

In other examples, respective, i.e. different, user interfaces are used for issuing the notification and inputting the second value.

Whilst the transmission modules 14A, 14B, 14C are each shown in Fig. 3 as transmitting (encrypted) data to the processing module 34, this is not intended to exclude the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C, or a component module thereof, receiving data transmitted from the processing module 34.

Whilst not shown in Fig. 3, the processing module 34 may, in some examples, comprise a clock module, with each of the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C having a further clock module. The further clock modules can be synchronized according to the time provided by the clock module. The clock module may, for instance, receive the time of the time zone in which the processing module 34 is situated. This may cause the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C to be synchronized according to the time in which the subject and their respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C are located. In such an example, the processing module 34 may be configured to synchronize the further clock modules of the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C.

Moreover, such synchronization may, for instance, provide a point of reference which enables the relative timing of use of the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C to be determined, which may have clinical relevance. For example, such synchronization may permit a correlation to be drawn between failure of the subject to administer a maintenance medicament at regular times and increased rescue inhaler usage during the same period.

Such synchronization may also facilitate the above-described time-stamping of each use of the inhaler 100.

In an embodiment, the processing module 34 is at least partly included in a first processing module included in the user device 40. By implementing as much processing as possible of the usage data from the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C in the first processing module of the user device 40, battery life in the respective inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C may be advantageously saved. The user device 40 may be, for example, at least one selected from a personal computer, a tablet computer, and a smart phone.

Alternatively or additionally, the user interface 38 may be at least partly defined by a first user interface of the user device 40. The first user interface of the user device 40 may, for instance, comprise, or be defined by, the touchscreen of a smart phone 40.

In other non-limiting examples, the processing module is not included in a user device. The processing module 34 (or at least part of the processing module 34) may, for example, be provided in a server, e.g. a remote server.

Fig. 4 shows front and rear views of the exterior of an inhaler 100 according to a non-limiting example. The inhaler 100 comprises a top cap 102, a main housing 104, a mouthpiece 106, a mouthpiece cover 108, and an air vent 126. The mouthpiece cover 108 may be hinged to the main housing 104 so that it may open and close to expose the mouthpiece 106 and the air vent 126. The depicted inhaler 100 also comprises a mechanical dose counter 111 , whose dose count may be used to check the number of doses remaining as determined by the processing module (on the basis of the total number of doses contained by the inhaler 100 prior to use and on the uses determined by the use determination system 12).

In the non-limiting example shown in Fig. 4, the inhaler 100 has a barcode 42 printed thereon. The barcode 42 in this example is a quick reference (QR) code printed on the uppermost surface of the top cap 102. The use determination system 12 and/or the transmission module 14 may, for example, be located at least partly within the top cap 102, for example as components of an electronics module (not visible in Fig. 4). The electronics module of the inhaler 100 will be described in greater detail with reference to Figs. 23 to 26.

The QR code is more clearly visible in Fig. 5, which provides a view from directly above the top cap 102 of the inhaler 100 shown in Fig. 4. The QR code 42 may provide a facile way of pairing the respective inhaler 100 with the processing module 34, in examples in which the user device 40 comprises a suitable optical reader, such as a camera, for reading the QR code. Fig. 6 shows a user pairing the inhaler 100 with the processing module 34 using the camera included in the user device 40, which in this particular example is a smart phone.

In other non-limiting examples, the processing module 34 may be paired with the respective inhaler 100 by, for example, manual entry of an alphanumerical key including the respective identifier via the user interface, e.g. a touchscreen. Such a bar code 42, e.g. QR code, may comprise the identifier which is assigned to the respective medicament of the inhaler 100. Table A provides a non-limiting example of the identifiers included in the QR code 42 for various inhalers 100.

Table A. More generally, the processing module 34 may be configured to, e.g. following successful pairing of the processing module 34 with the respective inhaler 100, control the user interface 38 to notify the user that the prompt may, at some point(s), be issued. For example, the user interface 38 may be controlled to issue the following message: “You may get sent a short questionnaire at any time, please just complete it truthfully.”

Fig. 7A provides a flowchart of a method 50 according to an example. The method 50 comprises receiving 52 at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of at least one inhaler by a subject. The at least one value may be determined by a use determination system included in the respective inhaler, as previously described. The method 50 further comprises controlling a user interface to issue a prompt to input an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. The prompt being issued is dependent on the at least one value, as previously described.

This method 50 may, for example, be implemented by the processing module 34 of the system 10 described above. In some non-limiting examples, the method 50 is implemented by the processing module 34 residing on a user device, such as a smart phone or tablet.

Fig. 7B provides a graph-based depiction of a method 50 according to a non-limiting example. The inhaler use, e.g. as determined via opening of a mouthpiece cover, count per day is received in 52A. The peak inhalation flow, e.g. the average peak inhalation flow, per day is received in 52B. The inhalation volume, e.g. the average inhalation volume, per day is received in 52C.

The arrow 54 in Fig. 7B represents controlling the user interface to issue the prompt based on 52A, 52B, and/or 52C. The prompt may, for instance, comprise prompting the user to input the indication by completing a questionnaire, such as one of the simple Yes/No questionnaires described above.

Particular mention is made of inputting the indication in the form of a six to nine-point/six to nine-question questionnaire, as exemplified above, because the requirement for sufficient clinical information is balanced with avoiding placing too much burden on the subject, particularly as he/she may be suffering from worsening symptoms.

Fig. 8 shows a combined flowchart and timeline relating to an exemplary method. The timeline shows the day of a predicted exacerbation (“Day 0”), the fifth day prior to the exacerbation (“Day [-5]”), and the tenth day prior to the exacerbation (“Day [-10]”).

In Fig. 8, block 222 represents an inhaler use notification, which may be regarded as a notification concerning uses of a rescue medicament and/or a maintenance medicament. Block 224 represents a flow notification, which corresponds to the parameter relating to airflow during inhalations. Block 225 represents a “use” and “flow” notification, which may regarded as a combined notification based on the inhaler uses and the inhalation parameter. Block 226 represents a prompt. This prompt may be based on the at least one value. In a non-limiting example, the prompt may be based on an initial probability determination of an impending exacerbation, as will be described in more detail herein below.

Fig. 8 shows a questionnaire launch in block 223 on Day [-10] This launch may include issuing a prompt for the user to input the indication via the questionnaire. Block 227 represents the outcome of the questionnaire.

In a non-limiting example, if an exacerbation risk is calculated to remain based on the inputted indication, the questionnaire is continued in block 230, or the user is asked to input the indication again, or asked for further input relating to the status of the subject’s respiratory disease. Block 231 represents the scenario in which the exacerbation risk remains following continuation of the questionnaire, repeating of the questionnaire, or upon receipt of further input, and in block 233 an alert or notification is initiated (or maintained if such an alert or notification was initiated at 223).

Block 228 represents the scenario in which, following the prompt, e.g. questionnaire launch, in block 223, the exacerbation risk returns, on the basis of the user-inputted indication, to the baseline. The risk alert or notification is correspondingly terminated in block 229.

Similarly, block 232 represents the scenario in which, following the continued/further input in block 230, the exacerbation risk returns to the baseline. Whilst not shown in Fig. 8 (for the sake of simplicity of representation), the alert or notification may be terminated following return of the at least one value or exacerbation risk to the baseline in block 232.

Also provided is a computer program comprising computer program code which is adapted, when the computer program is run on a computer, to implement any of the above-described methods. In a preferred embodiment, the computer program takes the form of an app, for example an app for a user device 40, such as a mobile device, e.g. tablet computer or a smart phone.

More generally, the present disclosure is also directed to a treatment approach which predicts exacerbations of a respiratory disease to allow an early intervention in the patient’s treatment, thereby improving the outcome for the patient.

To this end a system is provided for determining a probability (or likelihood) of a respiratory disease exacerbation in a subject. The system comprises an inhaler arrangement for delivering a medicament to the subject. The medicament may be, for example, a rescue medicament or a maintenance medicament. The rescue medicament may be suitable for treating a worsening of respiratory symptoms, for example by effecting rapid dilation of the bronchi and bronchioles upon inhalation of the medicament. The inhaler arrangement has a use-detection system configured to determine an inhalation performed by the subject using the inhaler arrangement. A sensor system is configured to measure a parameter relating to airflow during the inhalation. A user interface enables user-input of an indication of a status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. A processing module is configured to determine the probability of the respiratory disease exacerbation based on the recorded inhalation(s) from the use-detection system, the parameter(s) received from the sensor system, and the indication received from the user interface. Any preferred embodiments discussed in respect of this system may be applied to the other systems and methods of the present disclosure, and vice versa.

The inhaler arrangement may comprise a first inhaler for dispensing a rescue medicament to the subject. The use-detection system may be accordingly configured to determine an inhalation of the rescue medicament.

Alternatively or additionally, the inhaler arrangement may comprise a second inhaler for dispensing a maintenance medicament to the subject. The use-detection system may be accordingly configured to determine an inhalation of the maintenance medicament.

The sensor system may be configured to measure the parameter during the inhalation of the rescue medicament and/or the maintenance medicament.

The use-detection system and the sensor system may, for example, be included in the above-described use determination system.

For example the use-detection system and the sensor system may be included in the use determination system 12 of the inhaler 100 shown in Fig. 1 , or in any of the use determination systems 12A, 12B, 12C of the inhalers 100A, 100B, 100C of the system 10 shown in Fig. 3.

The rescue medicament is as defined hereinabove and is typically a SABA or a rapid-onset LABA, such as formoterol (fumarate). The rescue medicine may also be in the form of a combination product, e.g. ICS-formoterol (fumarate), typically budesonide-formoterol (fumarate).

The system further comprises a processing module configured to determine or record a number of the inhalations, e.g. during a first time period. Accordingly, the number of rescue inhalations and/or the number of maintenance inhalations may be determined. The number of rescue inhalations may represent a factor in predicting an exacerbation, since the subject may use the first inhaler more as an exacerbation approaches.

The number of maintenance inhalations may alternatively or additionally represent useful information for predicting an exacerbation, since fewer maintenance inhalations (indicative of poorer compliance with a maintenance medication regimen) may result in an increased risk of an exacerbation.

In a non-limiting example, an increase in the number of rescue inhalations using the first inhaler (relative to a baseline period for the subject in question) and/or a decrease in the number of inhalations using the second inhaler (indicative of lower adherence to a treatment regimen), may together with inhalation parameters indicating worsening lung function leading to a higher probability of the respiratory disease exacerbation.

In a specific non-limiting example, the prompt is issued based on a 20% decrease in the inhalation volume for the last 2 days vs. the previous 2 weeks, e.g. the average inhalation volume from the previous 2 weeks; and/or today being the first day of more than two rescue inhaler uses after no uses for 20 days; and/or a daily increase in use by one inhalation every day for each of the last 7 days.

The parameter relating to airflow during the inhalation(s) may provide an indicator of an impending exacerbation, since the parameter may act as a proxy for the lung function and/or lung health of the subject.

More generally, as well as the at least one value of the usage parameter, e.g. the uses of the inhaler and/or the parameter relating to airflow, the prompt may, in some embodiments, be issued based on at least one further factor. Such a factor may, for instance, include one or more of a sleep indicator relating to a sleep pattern of the subject, an activity indicator relating to an activity level of the subject, and the weather at the subject’s location. The activity indicator may, for example, comprise the number of steps taken daily by the subject.

The status of the respiratory disease as experienced by the subject may provide useful diagnostic information. For example, the status of the respiratory disease as being contemporaneously experienced by the subject may provide confirmation, or otherwise, that the risk of exacerbation indicated by the other factors, e.g. the number of inhalations and/or inhalation parameters, has been adequately determined. In this manner, the indication of the status of the respiratory disease may improve the accuracy of the exacerbation prediction relative to, for example, a prediction based on the number of inhalations and the inhalation parameters but neglecting the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject.

Attempts have been made to assess the risk of an impending respiratory disease exacerbation, such as an asthma or COPD exacerbation, by monitoring various subject-related and environmental factors. Challenges have been encountered concerning which factors should be taken into account, and which neglected. Neglecting factors which only have a minimal or negligible influence on the risk determination may enable determination of the risk more efficiently, for example using less computational resources, such as processing resources, battery power, memory requirements, etc. Of greater importance is the requirement to improve the accuracy with which an impending respiratory disease exacerbation may be determined. A more accurate risk determination may facilitate a more effective warning system so that the appropriate clinical intervention may be delivered to the subject. Thus, more accurate assessment of the risk of exacerbation may have the potential to guide intervention for a subject at acute risk. For a higher probability of exacerbation, a step change in the treatment regimen may, for instance, be justified to a regimen configured for subjects at greater acute risk. Alternatively, in the case of a lower probability of exacerbation over a prolonged period, enhanced accuracy of the probability determination may be used as guidance to justify downgrading or even removal of an existing treatment regimen. This may, for example, mean that the subject may no longer be required to take a higher dose of medicament which is no longer commensurate with the status of their respiratory disease.

The present inventors have found, from carrying out extensive clinical studies, which will be explained in more detail herein below, that enhanced accuracy in determining the probability of a respiratory disease exacerbation may be achieved by employing a model which bases the exacerbation probability calculation both on the number of inhalations of a medicament performed by the subject and the parameter relating to airflow during inhalations of the medicament.

The number of inhalations may, for example, be recorded over a first time period.

Use of both the number of inhalations and the parameter may lead to a more accurate predictive model than, for example, a model which neglects either one of these factors. Depending on the type of respiratory disease, e.g. asthma or COPD, the number of inhalations may be more or less significant in the exacerbation probability determination than the inhalation parameters, as will be described in greater detail herein below.

It has been found from the clinical studies that the number of rescue inhalations, including trends relating to rescue inhaler usage, may be more significant in the probability determination for asthma than the parameter relating to airflow during the inhalations. The parameter may still be a significant factor in determining the probability of an asthma exacerbation, but may exert less overall influence on the probability than the number of rescue inhalations. Accordingly, further enhancement of the accuracy of the probability determination stems from weighting the predictive model such that the number of rescue inhalations is more significant in the probability determination than the parameter.

The asthma model may have, for example, a first weighting coefficient associated with the number of rescue inhalations and a second weighting coefficient associated with the parameters. When standardized to account for the different units used to quantify the number of rescue inhalations (or related trends of rescue medicament use) and the parameters, the first weighting coefficient may be larger than the second weighting coefficient, thereby ensuring that the number of rescue inhalations is more significant in the asthma probability determination than the parameter.

The probability determination is partly based on the number of rescue inhalations. Basing the determination on the number of rescue inhalations may mean that the model uses the absolute number of rescue inhalations during the first time period and/or one or more trends based on the number of rescue inhalations. Such trends are not the number of rescue inhalations per se, but are variations in the number of rescue inhalations. The trends based on the number of rescue inhalations may, for example, include the number of inhalations performed during a particular period in the day. The number of night-time inhalations may therefore, for instance, be included as a factor in the number of inhalations. The processing module may, for example, be equipped with suitable clock functionality in order to record such time of day rescue medicament use.

The first weighting coefficient may weight the absolute number of rescue inhalations and/or the one or more trends based on the number of rescue inhalations.

Forthe asthma exacerbation prediction more generally, the number of rescue inhalations (e.g. including any related trends) may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model (relative to the other factors) of 40% to 95%, preferably 55% to 95%, more preferably 60% to 85%, and most preferably 60% to 80%, e.g. about 60% or about 80%.

The asthma exacerbation probability determination may also be based on the parameter relating to airflow during the rescue inhalation and/or during the routine inhalation using the second inhaler when present. The parameter may correspond to a single factor relating to airflow during inhalation or may include a plurality of such factors. For example, the parameter may be at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, an inhalation duration and an inhalation speed. The time to peak inhalation flow may, for example, provide a measure of the inhalation speed.

Basing the asthma exacerbation probability determination on the parameters may mean that the model uses the one or more factors relating to airflow during the inhalations and/or one or more trends associated with the respective factor or factors. Such trends correspond to variations in the respective facto r(s).

The second weighting coefficient may weight the one or more factors relating to airflow during the inhalations and/or the one or more trends associated with the respective factor or factors.

More generally, the inhalation parameters (e.g. including any related trends) may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 2% to 49% or 2% to 30%, preferably 2% to 45%, more preferably 5% to 40%, and most preferably 10% to 35%, e.g. about 10% or about 35%.

The probability of the asthma exacerbation may be the probability of the impending asthma exacerbation occurring within an exacerbation period subsequent to the first time period. The model may thus enable determination of the probability of the asthma exacerbation occurring during a predetermined period, termed the “exacerbation period”, which follows the first period during which the inhalation data, i.e. the number of rescue inhalations and the parameter data, are collected. The exacerbation period may be, for example, 1 to 10 days, such as 5 days. The exacerbation period may be selected based on the capability of the model to predict an exacerbation within such a period, whilst also ensuring that the predetermined period is sufficiently long for appropriate therapeutic steps to be taken, if necessary.

In some embodiments, a biometric parameter may be included in the asthma exacerbation probability model to further improve its accuracy. In such embodiments, the processing module may, for example, be configured to receive the biometric parameter. A data input unit may, for instance, be included in the system to enable the subject and/or healthcare provider to input the biometric parameter.

The asthma exacerbation probability model may, for example, be weighted such that the biometric parameter has a lower significance than the number of rescue inhalations in the probability determination. In other words, a third weighting coefficient may be associated with the biometric parameter (or biometric parameters), which third weighting coefficient may be smaller than the first weighting coefficient associated with the number of rescue inhalations. The third weighting coefficient may be larger or smaller than the second weighting coefficient associated with the parameter relating to airflow.

Preferably, in the case of the asthma exacerbation probability model, the third weighting coefficient is smaller than the second weighting coefficient. In order of predictive power, the rescue medicament use may thus have the greatest influence, then the inhalation parameter, and then the biometric parameter.

The biometric parameter may be, for instance, one or more selected from body weight, height, body mass index, blood pressure, including systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure, sex, race, age, smoking history, sleep/activity patterns, exacerbation history, other treatments or medicaments administered to the subject, etc. In an embodiment, the biometric parameter includes age, body mass index and exacerbation history. In a preferred embodiment, the biometric parameter exacerbations and medical history, body mass index, and blood pressure, for example systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure.

More generally in the case of the asthma exacerbation probability determination, the biometric parameter may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 1% to 15%, preferably 1% to 12%, more preferably 3% to 10%, and most preferably 4% to 10%, e.g. about 5% or about 8%.

In a non-limiting example, in the case of asthma exacerbation prediction, the number of rescue inhalations (e.g. including any related trends) has a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model (relative to the other factors) of 40% to 95%, preferably 55% to 90%, more preferably 60% to 85%, and most preferably 60% to 80%, e.g. about 60% or about 80%; the inhalation parameters (e.g. including any related trends) has a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 2% to 49%, preferably 2% to 45%, more preferably 5% to 40%, and most preferably 10% to 35%, e.g. about 10% or about 35%; and the biometric parameter has a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 1% to 15%, preferably 1% to 12%, more preferably 3% to 10%, and most preferably 4% to 10%, e.g. about 5% or about 8%. More generally, additional data sources may also be added to the asthma exacerbation predictive model, such as environmental data relating to the weather or pollution levels. Such additional data may be weighted such as to have less significance on the probability determination than the number of rescue inhalations and optionally less significance than the inhalation parameter data.

In general, in the case of the asthma exacerbation probability determination, the number of rescue inhalations (e.g. including any related trends in the number of rescue inhalations) may be the most significant factor in the probability determination.

In a specific example, a decrease in adherence to a maintenance medicament regimen from 80% to 55%, an increase in rescue inhaler use by 67.5%, a drop in peak inhalation flow by 34%, a drop in inhalation volume by 23% (all changes from patient’s baseline), two exacerbations in the previous year, and a BMI over 28 may result in a probability of an asthma exacerbation in the next 5 days, with an ROC-AUC (see the below discussion of Figs. 13 and 22) of 0.87.

Turning to COPD exacerbation prediction, use of both the number of rescue inhalations and the parameter may (similarly to the asthma exacerbation case) lead to a more accurate predictive model than, for example, a model which neglects either one of these factors. Moreover, it has been found from a further clinical study that the parameter relating to airflow during inhalations, including trends relating to the parameter(s), is more significant in the COPD exacerbation probability determination than the number of rescue inhalations. The number of rescue inhalations may still be a significant factor in determining the probability of an exacerbation, but may exert less overall influence on the probability than the parameter. Accordingly, further enhancement of the accuracy of the probability determination stems from weighting the model such that the parameter is more significant in the probability determination than the number of rescue inhalations.

The COPD exacerbation prediction model may have, for example, a first weighting coefficient associated with the parameter(s) and a second weighting coefficient associated with the number of inhalations. When standardized to account for the different units used to quantify the number of rescue inhalations (or related trends of rescue medicament use) and the parameters, the first weighting coefficient may be larger than the second weighting coefficient, thereby ensuring that the parameter is more significant in the COPD exacerbation probability determination than the number of rescue inhalations.

The COPD exacerbation probability determination may be based on the parameter relating to airflow during the rescue inhalation and/or during the routine inhalation using the second inhaler when present. The parameter may correspond to a single factor relating to airflow during inhalation or may include a plurality of such factors. For example, the parameter may be at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, an inhalation duration and an inhalation speed. The time to peak inhalation flow may, for example, provide a measure of the inhalation speed. Basing the determination on the parameters may mean that the model uses the one or more factors relating to airflow during the inhalations and/or one or more trends associated with the respective factor or factors. Such trends correspond to variations in the respective factors) .

The first weighting coefficient may weight the one or more factors relating to airflow during the inhalations and/or the one or more trends associated with the respective factor or factors.

More generally for the COPD exacerbation probability determination, the parameter relating to airflow during the rescue inhalations and/or during the routine inhalations (e.g. including any related trends) may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model (relative to the other factors) of 55% to 95%, preferably 65% to 90%, and most preferably 75% to 85%, e.g. about 80%.

The COPD exacerbation probability determination may also be partly based on the number of rescue inhalations. Basing the determination on the number of rescue inhalations may mean that the model uses the absolute number of rescue inhalations during the first time period and/or one or more trends based on the number of rescue inhalations. Such trends are not the number of rescue inhalations per se, but are variations in the number of rescue inhalations.

The second weighting coefficient may weight the absolute number of rescue inhalations and/or the one or more trends based on the number of rescue inhalations.

The trends based on the number of rescue inhalations may, for example, include the number of inhalations performed during a particular period in the day. The number of night-time inhalations may therefore, for instance, be included as a factor in the number of inhalations.

More generally for the COPD exacerbation prediction determination, the number of rescue inhalations (e.g. including any related trends) may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 2% to 30%, preferably 5% to 25%, and most preferably 10% to 20%, e.g. about 15%.

The probability of the COPD exacerbation may be the probability of the impending COPD exacerbation occurring within an exacerbation period subsequent to the first time period. The model may thus enable determination of the probability of the COPD exacerbation occurring during a predetermined period, termed the “exacerbation period”, which follows the first period during which the inhalation data, i.e. the number of rescue inhalations and the parameter data, are collected. The exacerbation period may be, for example, 1 to 10 days, such as 5 days. The exacerbation period may be selected based on the capability of the model to predict an exacerbation within such a period, whilst also ensuring that the predetermined period is sufficiently long for appropriate therapeutic steps to be taken, if necessary.

In some embodiments, a biometric parameter may be included in the COPD exacerbation predictive model to further improve its accuracy. In such embodiments, the processing module may, for example, be configured to receive the biometric parameter. A data input unit may, for instance, be included in the system to enable the subject and/or healthcare provider to input the biometric parameter.

The COPD exacerbation predictive model may, for example, be weighted such that the biometric parameter has a lower significance than the parameter relating to airflow during inhalations in the probability determination. In other words, a third weighting coefficient may be associated with the biometric parameter (or biometric parameters), which third weighting coefficient may be smaller than the first weighting coefficient associated with the parameter. The third weighting coefficient may be larger or smaller than the second weighting coefficient associated with the number of rescue inhalations.

Preferably for COPD exacerbation prediction, the third weighting coefficient is smaller than the second weighting coefficient. In order of predictive power, the parameter relating to airflow during inhalations may thus have the greatest influence, then the number of rescue inhalations, and then the biometric parameter.

As previously described in respect of predicting asthma exacerbations, the biometric parameter may be, for instance, one or more selected from body weight, height, body mass index, blood pressure, including systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure, sex, race, age, smoking history, sleep/activity patterns, exacerbation history, other treatments or medicaments administered to the subject, etc. In a preferred embodiment, the biometric parameter includes age, body mass index and exacerbation history.

More generally in the case of COPD exacerbation prediction, the biometric parameter may have a significance/importance (e.g. weight) in the model of 1% to 12%, preferably 3% to 10%, and most preferably 4% to 6%, e.g. about 5%.

Additional data sources may also be added to the COPD exacerbation predictive model, such as environmental data relating to the weather or pollution levels. Such additional data may be weighted such as to have less significance on the probability determination than the inhalation parameter data and optionally less significance than the number of rescue inhalations data.

Regardless of the respiratory disease, the model may be a linear model or may be a non-linear model. The model may be, for instance, a machine learning model. A supervised model, such as a supervised machine learning model, may, for example, be used. Irrespective of the specific type of model employed, the model is constructed to be more sensitive, i.e. responsive, to the number of inhalations or the inhalation parameters, depending on the respiratory disease as previously described. It is this sensitivity which may correspond to the “weighting” of the weighted model.

In a non-limiting example, the model is constructed using a decision trees technique. Other suitable techniques, such as building a neural network or a deep learning model may also be contemplated by the skilled person. Irrespective of the respiratory disease exacerbation being predicted, the processing module of the system may determine the probability of the exacerbation based on the number of inhalations, the inhalation parameters and the indication of a status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. The inclusion of the indication in the prediction may enhance the accuracy of the prediction. This is because the user-inputted indication may assist to validate or enhance the predictive value of the probability assessment relative to that derived from, for example, consideration of the number of inhalations and the inhalation parameters without such a user-inputted indication.

In an embodiment, the processing module determines an initial probability of the respiratory disease exacerbation based on the recorded inhalation or inhalations, and the received inhalation parameter or parameters, but not on the indication. The initial probability may, for example, be calculated using a weighted model, e.g. as described above in respect of asthma and COPD exacerbation prediction. The probability, i.e. the overall probability, may then be determined based on the inhalation(s), the parameter(s) and the received indication of the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject. For example, the overall probability may be determined based on the initial probability and the received indication.

The initial probability may, for example, determine the risk of an exacerbation during the subsequent 10 days. The overall probability, taking the indication of the status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject, may, for example, determine the risk of an exacerbation during the subsequent 5 days. Thus, the inclusion of the indication in the probability determination may enable a more accurate shorter term prediction.

By including the user-inputted indication in the probability determination, one or more of: positive and negative predictive values, the sensitivity of the prediction, i.e. the capability of the system/method to correctly identify those at risk (true positive rate), and the specificity of the prediction, i.e. the capability of the system/method to correctly identify those not at risk (true negative rate), may be enhanced.

The inhalations and inhalation parameter data may indicate, for example, a deviation from the subject’s baseline as early as 10 days prior to an exacerbation. By including the user-inputted indication in the subsequent prediction, the positive and negative predictive values, and the sensitivity and specificity of the predictive system/method, may be improved.

The processing module may, for example, be configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt to the user so that the user inputs the indication. The prompt may be issued based on the initial probability determined from the recorded inhalation(s) and the inhalation parameter(s), i.e. based on the at least one value of the usage parameter described above.

In a non-limiting example, the prompt comprises a message. Such a message may, for instance, be displayed to the user via a display included in the user interface. The message may, for example, read: “You may be at risk of experiencing an asthma/COPD exacerbation within the next 10 days. Answering the following simple questions will help us better assess your level of risk.”

For example, the prompt may be issued based on the initial probability reaching or exceeding a predetermined threshold. In this manner, the user may be prompted by the system to input the indication on the basis of the initial probability signaling a potential impending exacerbation. By the user then inputting the indication, the (overall) probability which also takes account of the indication may assist to confirm or validate the initial probability.

In this case, the initial exacerbation probability determination may, for instance, be based on a weighted model of the type described above in relation to asthma and COPD exacerbation probability determination.

This may be, for instance, regarded as an “analytics data driven” use of the indication: the user input is prompted via the user interface when the inhalation and/or inhalation parameter data indicate possible worsening of the subject’s respiratory disease.

The logic determining when this prompt, e.g. pop-up notification, is provided may, for example, be driven by shifts in key variables, such as changes in the number and/or time of rescue and/or controller inhalations, and inhalation parameters, as previously described.

Alternatively or additionally, the system may be configured to receive the indication when the user opts to input the indication via the user interface. For example, when the healthcare provider decides that the indication may usefully enhance the initial probability determination. This may, for instance, be regarded as an “on request” use of the indication: the request being made by the patient or his/her physician, e.g. prior to or during an assessment by the healthcare professional.

In this manner, the user may only be prompted to input the indication when this is deemed necessary by the system and/or healthcare provider. This may advantageously reduce burden on the subject, and render it more likely that the subject will input the indication when asked or prompted to do so, i.e. when such input would be desirable in relation to monitoring the subject’s respiratory disease. Compliance with inputting the indication in these embodiments may thus be more likely than the scenario in which the subject is routinely prompted to input the indication.

Alternatively or additionally, an alert may be issued by the user interface based on the determined initial and/or overall probability reaching or exceeding a predetermined threshold. The alert may, for example, comprise a message for the subject to contact their healthcare professional (HCP) or care manager.

In a non-limiting example, the alert comprises the message: “Contact your HCP or Care Manager ASAP” and/or the message “Follow the steps in your HCP agreed Action Plan.” In other examples, the alert comprises the message: “We have detected a change (increase/decrease) in your inhaler use (too much, at night....) overthe pastX days. Please contact your physician to discuss your level of asthma control and opportunities to improve it.”

A notification may, for instance, be issued to inform the subject that the at least one value of the usage parameter (e.g. inhaler use and/or the parameter relating to airflow) has returned to the baseline. Such a notification may, for example, comprise the message: “Your use patterns are now back to baseline levels.”

More generally, issuance of such an alert by the user interface may, for example, be based on detected deviations from the patient baseline and/or clinical guidelines with regards to inhaler use patterns and/or inspiratory flow characteristics, as previously described.

Such deviations are detected by first determining the at least one value of the usage parameter (inhaler use and/or the parameter relating to airflow), and optionally taking account of at least one further factor, such as the abovementioned sleep indicator, activity indicator, and/or the weather at the subject’s location.

A method is provided for determining a probability of a respiratory disease exacerbation in a subject, the method comprising: recording an inhalation or inhalations of a medicament performed by the subject; receiving a parameter relating to airflow sensed during the inhalation or inhalations; receiving an input of an indication of a status of the respiratory disease being experienced by the subject; and determining the probability of the respiratory disease exacerbation based on the recorded inhalation or inhalations, the parameter or parameter, and the received indication.

Also provided is a computer program comprising computer program code which is adapted, when the computer program is run on a computer, to implement the above method. In a preferred embodiment, the computer program takes the form of an app, e.g. an app for a mobile device, such a tablet computer or a smart phone.

Further provided is a method for treating a respiratory disease exacerbation in a subject, the method comprising: performing the method as defined above; determining whether the probability reaches or exceeds a predetermined upper threshold; or determining whether the probability reaches or is lower than a predetermined lower threshold; and treating the respiratory disease exacerbation based on the probability reaching or exceeding the predetermined upper threshold; or based on the probability reaching or being lower than the predetermined lower threshold.

The treating may, for example, comprise using an inhaler to deliver the rescue medicament to the subject when the probability reaches or exceeds the predetermined upper threshold. The treatment may comprise modifying an existing treatment. The existing treatment may comprise a first treatment regimen, and the modifying the existing treatment of the asthma may comprise changing from the first treatment regimen to a second treatment regimen based on the probability reaching or exceeding the predetermined upper threshold, wherein the second treatment regimen is configured for higher risk of respiratory disease exacerbation than the first treatment regimen.

The more accurate risk determination using the weighted model may facilitate a more effective warning system so that the appropriate clinical intervention may be delivered to the subject. Thus, more accurate assessment of the risk of exacerbation may have the potential to guide intervention for a subject at acute risk. In particular, the intervention may include implementing the second treatment regimen. This may, for example, involve progressing the subject to a higher step specified in the GINA or GOLD guidelines. Such preemptive intervention may mean that the subject need not proceed to suffer the exacerbation, and be subjected to the associated risks, in order for the progression to the second treatment regimen to be justified.

In an embodiment, the second treatment regimen comprises administering a biologies medication to the subject. The relatively high cost of biologies means that stepping up the subject’s treatment to include administering of a biologies medication tends to require careful consideration and justification. The systems and methods according to the present disclosure may provide a reliable metric, in terms of the risk of the subject experiencing an exacerbation, to justify administering of a biologies medication. For example, should the determined probability reach or surpass an upper threshold indicative of a high risk of exacerbation on a predetermined minimum number of occasions, the administering of the biologies medication may be quantitatively justified, and the biologies medication may be administered accordingly.

More generally, the biologies medication may comprise one or more of omalizumab, mepolizumab, reslizumab, benralizumab, and dupilumab.

Modifying the existing treatment of the respiratory disease may comprise changing from the first treatment regimen to a third treatment regimen based on the probability reaching or being lower than the predetermined lower threshold, wherein the third treatment regimen is configured for lower risk of respiratory disease exacerbation than the first treatment regimen.

In the case, for instance, of a lower probability of exacerbation over a relatively prolonged period, enhanced accuracy of the probability determination may be used as guidance to justify downgrading or even removal of an existing treatment regimen. In particular, the subject may be moved from the first treatment regimen onto the third treatment regimen which is configured for lower risk of respiratory disease exacerbation than the first treatment regimen. This may, for example, involve progressing the subject to a lower step specified in the GINA or GOLD guidelines. A method is provided for diagnosing a respiratory disease exacerbation, the method comprising: performing the method for determining a probability of an asthma exacerbation in a subject as defined above; determining whether the probability reaches or exceeds a predetermined upper threshold indicative of the respiratory disease exacerbation; and diagnosing the respiratory disease exacerbation based on the probability reaching or exceeding the predetermined upper threshold.

A method is also provided for diagnosing an acute severity of a respiratory disease in a subject, the method comprising: performing the method for determining a probability of an respiratory disease exacerbation in a subject as defined above; determining whether the probability reaches or exceeds a predetermined upper threshold indicative of the respiratory disease being more severe; or determining whether the probability reaches or is lower than a predetermined lower threshold indicative of the asthma being less severe; and diagnosing a higher severity based on the probability reaching or exceeding the predetermined upper threshold; or diagnosing a lower severity based on the probability reaching or being lower than the predetermined lower threshold.

Further provided is a method for demarcating a subpopulation of subjects, the method comprising: performing the method defined above for each subject of a population of subjects, thereby determining the probability of the respiratory disease exacerbation for each subject of the population; providing a threshold probability or range of the probabilities which distinguishes the probabilities determined for the subpopulation from the probabilities determined for the rest of the population; and demarcating the subpopulation from the rest of the population using the threshold probability or range of the probabilities.

A clinical study was carried out in order to assess the factors influencing the probability of an asthma exacerbation. The following should be regarded as an explanatory and non-limiting example.

Albuterol administered using the ProAir Digihaler marketed by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries was utilized in this 12-week, open-label study, although the results of the study are more generally applicable to other rescue medicaments delivered using other device types.

Patients (>18 years old) with exacerbation-prone asthma were recruited to the study. Patients used the ProAir Digihaler (albuterol 90 meg as the sulfate with a lactose carrier, 1-2 inhalations every 4 hours) as needed.

The electronics module of the Digihaler recorded each use, i.e. each inhalation, and parameters relating to airflow during each inhalation: peak inspiratory flow, volume inhaled, time to peak flow and inhalation duration. Data were downloaded from the inhalers and, together with clinical data, subjected to a machine-learning algorithm to develop models predictive of an impending exacerbation.

The diagnosis of a clinical asthma exacerbation (CAE) in this example was based on the American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society statement (H.K. Reddel et al., Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2009, 180(1), 59-99). It includes both a “severe CAE” or a “moderate CAE.” A severe CAE is defined as a CAE that involves worsening asthma that requires oral steroid (prednisone or equivalent) for at least three days and hospitalization. A moderate CAE requires oral steroid (prednisone or equivalent) for at least three days or hospitalization.

The generated model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, as will be explained in greater detail with reference to Fig. 13.

The objective and primary endpoint of the study was to explore the patterns and amount of albuterol use, as captured by the Digihaler, alone and in combination with other study data, such as the parameters relating to airflow during inhalation, physical activity, sleep, etc., preceding a CAE. This study represents the first successful attempt to develop a model to predict CAE derived from the use of a rescue medication inhaler device equipped with an integrated sensor and capable of measuring inhalation parameters.

Fig. 9 shows three timelines showing different inhalation patterns recorded for three different patients by their respective Digihalers. The uppermost timeline shows that the patient in question takes one inhalation at a time. The lowermost timeline shows that the patient in question takes two or more consecutive inhalations in a session. The term “session” is defined in this context as a sequence of inhalations with no more than 60 seconds between consecutive inhalations. The middle timeline shows that the patient in question inhales in various patterns. Thus, as well as recording the number of rescue inhalations, the Digihaler is configured to record the pattern of use.

It was found that 360 patients performed >1 valid inhalation from the Digihaler. These 360 patients were included in the analysis. Of these, 64 patients experienced a total of 78 CAEs. Fig. 10 shows a graph 330 of the average number of rescue inhalations versus days from an asthma exacerbation. Fig. 10 shows the data during a risk period which is 14 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Line 332 corresponds to the average daily number of rescue inhalations during the risk period. Line 332 is higher on the y-axis than the baseline average daily number of rescue inhalations outside the risk period, represented by line 334. This is indicative of the average daily number of rescue inhalations increasing as the risk of an exacerbation increases. For reference, Fig. 10 further provides the baseline daily number of rescue inhalations for the patients which did not experience an exacerbation, represented by line 336.

Fig. 11 shows another graph 330 of the average number of rescue inhalations versus number of days from an asthma exacerbation. Fig. 11 shows the data during a period which is 50 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Fig. 11 shows the marked increase in rescue inhaler use as the day on which the exacerbation takes place approaches, as compared to the baseline average daily number of rescue inhalations outside the risk period, represented by line 334. Fig. 12 shows four graphs showing the percentage change of number of rescue inhalations and various parameters relating to airflow relative to respective baseline values versus the number of days from an asthma exacerbation.

Graph 340 plots the percentage change in the number of rescue inhalations relative to the baseline (outside the risk period) versus days from the asthma exacerbation. The number of rescue inhalations was found to increase by 90% relative to the baseline immediately prior to the exacerbation.

Graph 342 plots the percentage change in the daily minimum peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline versus days from the asthma exacerbation. Graph 342 shows that the daily minimum peak inhalation flow generally decreases in the days leading up to the exacerbation. The daily minimum peak inhalation flow was found to decrease by 12% relative to the baseline immediately prior to the exacerbation.

Graph 344 plots the percentage change in the daily minimum inhalation volume relative to a baseline versus days from the asthma exacerbation. Graph 344 shows that the daily minimum inhalation volume generally decreases in the days leading up to the exacerbation. The daily minimum inhalation volume was found to decrease by 20% relative to the baseline immediately prior to the exacerbation.

Graph 346 plots the percentage change in the daily minimum inhalation duration relative to a baseline versus days from the asthma exacerbation. Graph 346 shows that the daily minimum inhalation duration generally decreases in the days leading up to the exacerbation. The daily minimum inhalation duration was found to decrease by between 15% and 20% relative to the baseline immediately prior to the exacerbation.

In the construction of a first weighted predictive model, it was found that the strongest predictive factor of the asthma exacerbation, particularly during the period of 5 days before a CAE, was the average number of rescue inhalations per day. The parameter relating to air flow, i.e. peak inhalation flow, inhalation volume and/or inhalation duration, was also found to have significant predictive value.

In the first weighted predictive model, the most significant features in determining the probability of an asthma exacerbation were found to be: the number of rescue inhalations 61%; inhalation trends 16%; peak inhalation flow 13%; inhalation volume 8%; and night albuterol use 2%. Such inhalation features were collected by the Digihaler, which recorded peak inhalation flow, time to peak inhalation flow, inhalation volume, inhalation duration, night-time usage, and trends of these parameters overtime.

Inhalation trends are artificially created or “engineered” parameters, such as the percentage change in inhalation volume today compared to the last three days. Another example is the change in the number of rescue inhalations today compared to the last three days. The respective trend is not, in these examples, the inhalation volume or the number of rescue inhalations per se, but respective variations on these. On the basis of the above results, the first weighted predictive model was developed to determine the probability of the asthma exacerbation. The supervised machine learning technique, Gradient Boosting Trees, was used to solve the classification problem (yes/no exacerbation in the upcoming x days (exacerbation period)).

The Gradient Boosting Trees technique is well-known in the art. See: J.H. Friedman, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 2002, 38(4), 367-378; and J.H. Friedman et al., The Annals of Statistics 2000, 28(2), 337-407. It produces a prediction model in the form of an ensemble (multiple learning algorithms) of base prediction models, which are decision trees (a tree-like model of decisions and their possible consequences). It builds a single strong learner model in an iterative fashion by using an optimization algorithm to minimize some suitable loss function (a function of the difference between estimated and true values for an instance of data). The optimization algorithm uses a training set of known values of the response variable (yes/no exacerbation in the upcoming x days) and their corresponding values of predictors (the list of the features and engineered features) to minimize the expected value of the loss function. The learning procedure consecutively fits new models to provide a more accurate estimate of the response variable.

Table B provides an exemplary list of factors included in the first weighted predictive model, together with their relative weighting to each other.

Table B. List of factors.

*The term “normalized” means relative to the respective baseline

Whilst the key factor in the predictive model for determining the probability of an impending asthma exacerbation is the number of rescue inhalations, including trends relating to the number of rescue inhalations, the predictive model was strengthened by supplementing this with the parameter relating to airflow during inhalation. Fig. 13 shows a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of the model, which assesses the quality of the model by plotting the true positive rate against the false positive rate. This first weighted predictive model predicted an impending exacerbation over the subsequent 5 days with an AUC value of 0.75 using the relevant features described above. The AUC value is 0.69 when using features based on number of rescue inhalations only.

Accordingly, the parameter relating to airflow during inhalation, in common with the factors other than the number of rescue inhalations, may represent a significant factor in improving the accuracy with which the probability of an asthma exacerbation may be determined, in spite of exerting less overall influence on the probability than the number of rescue inhalations.

A second weighted predictive model was developed using the same data, in an effort to improve on the first weighted predictive model. Biometric parameters were included in the modelling. In particular, case report form (CRF) data, such as medical history, body mass index (BMI), and blood pressure, were combined with Digihaler data and subjected to the machine learning algorithm in order to refine the predictive model.

Algorithms were trained on patient-specific inhalation information collected from Digihalers, as well as age, BMI, blood pressure, and the number of exacerbations and hospitalizations in the past 12 months. Baseline features and features prior to prediction, comparison between the two, and trends of changes in these features were subjected to supervised machine learning algorithms. A 4-fold cross validation technique was used to compare performance metrics and gradient boosting trees were chosen as the most suitable algorithm. As before, the generated model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic area under curve (ROC AUC) analysis.

Table C provides an exemplary list of factors included in the second weighted predictive model, together with their relative weighting to each other. Table C. List of factors.

This second weighted predictive model predicted an impending exacerbation over the subsequent 5 days with an AUC value of 0.83. The second weighted predictive model had a sensitivity of 68.8% and a specificity of 89.1 %. Thus, this second weighted predictive model represented an improved asthma exacerbation predictive model than the first weighted predictive model described above, which had an AUC of 0.75. The additional refinement of the second weighted predictive model may be at least partly ascribed to the inclusion of the biometric parameter.

More generally, the first time period over which the number of rescue inhalations is to be determined may be 1 to 15 days, such as 3 to 8 days. Monitoring the number of rescue inhalations over such a first time period may be particularly effective in the determination of the probability of the asthma exacerbation.

When the parameter includes the peak inhalation flow, the method may further comprise determining a peak inhalation flow, such as a minimum or average peak inhalation flow from peak inhalation flows measured for inhalations performed during a second time period. The term “second” in relation to the second time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the peak inhalation flows from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled. The second time period may at least partially overlap with the first time period, or the first and second time periods may be concurrent.

The step of determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average peak inhalation flow. The second time period may be, for instance, 1 to 5 days, such as 1 day. The second time period may be selected according to the time required to gather peak inhalation flow data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period. The determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline peak inhalation flow, as per graph 342 of Fig. 12.

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average peak inhalation flow relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using daily minimum peak inhalation flows measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 20 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average peak inhalation flow may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

The method may further comprise determining an inhalation volume, such as a minimum or average inhalation volume from inhalation volumes measured for inhalations performed during a third time period. The term “third” in relation to the third time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the inhalation volumes from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled, and the second time period during which the peak inhalation flow data are sampled. The third period may at least partially overlap with the first time period and/or the second time period, or the third time period may be concurrent with at least one of the first time period and the second time period.

The step of determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average inhalation volume. The third time period may be, for instance, 1 to 5 days, such as 1 day. The third time period may be selected according to the time required to gather minimum inhalation volume data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period.

The determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average inhalation volume relative to a baseline inhalation volume, as per graph 344 of Fig. 12.

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average inhalation volume relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using daily minimum inhalation volumes measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 10 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average inhalation volume may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

The method may further comprise determining an inhalation duration, such as a minimum or average inhalation duration from inhalation durations measured for inhalations over a fourth time period. The term “fourth” in relation to the fourth time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the minimum inhalation durations from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled, the second time period during which the peak inhalation flow data are sampled, and the third time period during which the inhalation volume data are sampled. The fourth time period may at least partially overlap with the first time period, the second time period and/or the third time period, or the fourth time period may be concurrent with at least one of the first time period, the second time period and the third time period.

The step of determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average inhalation duration. The fourth time period may be, for instance, 1 to 5 days, such as 1 day. The fourth time period may be selected according to the time required to gather minimum inhalation duration data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period.

The determining the probability of the asthma exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average inhalation duration relative to a baseline inhalation duration as per graph 346 of Fig. 12.

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average inhalation duration relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using daily minimum inhalation durations measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 20 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average inhalation duration may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

A further clinical study was undertaken in order to better understand the factors influencing prediction of COPD exacerbation. The following should be regarded as an explanatory and non-limiting example.

Albuterol administered using the ProAir Digihaler marketed by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries was utilized in this 12-week, multicenter, open-label study, although the results of the study are more generally applicable to other rescue medicaments delivered using other device types.

The Digihaler enabled recording of: total number of inhalations, maximal inhalation flow, time to maximal inhalation flow, inhalation volume, and inhalation duration. The data were downloaded from the electronics module of the Digihaler at the end of the study.

An acute COPD exacerbation (AECOPD) was the primary outcome measure of this study. In this study, an AECOPD is an occurrence of either a “severe AECOPD” or a “moderate AECOPD.” “Mild AECOPD” was not used as a measure of AECOPD in this study.

Severe AECOPD is defined as an event that involves worsening respiratory symptoms for at least two consecutive days requiring treatment with systemic corticosteroids (SCS, at least 10 mg prednisone equivalent above baseline) and/or systemic antibiotics, and a hospitalization for AECOPD. Moderate AECOPD is defined as an event that involves worsening respiratory symptoms for at least two consecutive days requiring treatment with SCS (at least 10 mg prednisone equivalent above baseline), and/or systemic antibiotics, and an unscheduled encounter (such as a phone call, an office visit, an urgent care visit, or an emergency care visit) for a AECOPD, but not a hospitalization.

Patients (>40 years old) with COPD were recruited to the study. Patients used the ProAir Digihaler (albuterol 90 meg as the sulfate with a lactose carrier, 1-2 inhalations every 4 hours) as needed.

The inclusion criteria required that the patient is on a SABA plus at least one of the following: LABA, ICS/LABA, LAMA, or LABA/LAMA; suffered least one episode of moderate or severe AECOPD over the past 12 months before screening; is able to demonstrate appropriate use of albuterol from the Digihaler; and is willing to discontinue all other rescue or maintenance SABA or short-acting anti- muscarinic agents and replace them with the study -provided Digihaler for the duration of the trial.

Patients were excluded from the study if they had any clinically significant medical condition (treated or untreated) that, in the opinion of the investigator, would interfere with participation in the study; any other confounding underlying lung disorder other than COPD; used an investigational drug within 5 half- lives of it being discontinued, or 1 month of visit 2, whichever is longer; had congestive heart failure; were pregnant or were lactating, or had plans to become pregnant during the study.

Two subsets of ca. 100 patients were required to wear an accelerometer either on the ankle to measure physical activity (Total Daily Steps, TDS) or on the wrist to measure sleep disturbance (Sleep Disturbance Index, SDI).

The general factors of interest relating to rescue medicament use were:

(1) total number of inhalations in the days preceding the peak of a AECOPD

(2) number of days prior to the peak of a AECOPD when albuterol use increased, and

(3) number of albuterol uses in the 24 hours preceding a AECOPD.

Approximately 400 patients were enrolled. This provided 366 evaluable patients which completed the study. 336 valid inhalations of the Digihaler were recorded. Further details in this respect are provided in Table 1 .

Table 1

98 of the patients which completed the study suffered AECOPD events and used the Digihaler. A total of 121 moderate/severe AECOPD events were recorded. Further details are provided in Table 2. Table 2

For 366 patients which completed the study: 30 (8%) patients did not use inhaler at all; 268 (73%) had a daily average of up to 5 inhalations; and 11 (3%) had a daily average greater than 10 inhalations.

Fig. 14 shows a graph 330b of the average number of rescue inhalations per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 14 shows the data during a risk period which is 14 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Line 332b corresponds to the average daily number of rescue inhalations during the risk period. Line 332b is higher on the y-axis than the baseline average daily number of rescue inhalations outside the risk period, represented by line 334b. This is indicative of the average daily number of rescue inhalations increasing as the risk of an exacerbation increases. For reference, Fig. 14 further provides the baseline daily number of rescue inhalations for the patients which did not experience an exacerbation, represented by line 336b.

Fig. 15 shows another graph 330b of the average number of rescue inhalations per subject versus number of days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 15 shows the data during a period which is 30 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Fig. 15 shows the marked increase in rescue inhaler use as the day on which the exacerbation takes place approaches, as compared to the baseline average daily number of rescue inhalations outside the risk period, represented by line 334b.

The data show an increase in the number of rescue medicament inhalations about two weeks prior to the exacerbation. There is a further smaller increase about one week prior to the exacerbation. Table 3 provides further details in relation to the association between increased rescue medicament use and

AECOPD. Table 3

1] For patients who experienced an AECOPD event, the albuterol use is prior to the symptom peak of the event. For patients who experienced multiple events, only the first one is included in the analysis. Baseline albuterol use is defined as the average of inhalations during the first 7 days in the study. If no inhalations occurred during the first 7 days, the first available inhalation after day 7 is used. If no inhalation occurred during the entire study, the baseline is 0 (zero). [2] All inferential statistics, odds ratio, p value, and C-statistics for goodness of fit were estimated from a logistic regression model with increased albuterol use status and baseline albuterol use as the explanatory variables. An odds ratio of greater than 1 indicates that patients whose daily albuterol use ever exceeded 20% more than the baseline are more likely to experience an AECOPD event than those whose albuterol use never exceeded 20% more than the baseline. Patients who experienced AECOPD during study day 1 through study day 7 are excluded from the analysis.

Fig. 16 shows a graph 340b of the average (mean) peak inhalation flow per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 16 shows the data during a risk period which is 14 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Line 342b corresponds to the average peak inhalation flow during the risk period. Line 342b is slightly higher on the y-axis than the baseline average peak inhalation flow outside the risk period, represented by line 344b, although this difference is not thought to be significant. Fig. 16 further provides the baseline average peak inhalation flow for the patients which did not experience an exacerbation, represented by line 346b.

Fig. 17 shows another graph 340b of the average (mean) peak inhalation flow per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 17 shows the data during a period which is 30 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Fig. 17 shows a relatively steady and low average peak inhalation flow prior to the exacerbation.

Fig. 18 shows a graph 360b of the average inhalation volume per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 18 shows the data during a risk period which is 14 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Line 362b corresponds to the average inhalation volume during the risk period. Line 362b is lower on the y-axis than the baseline average inhalation volume outside the risk period, represented by line 364b. Fig. 18 further provides the baseline average inhalation volume for the patients which did not experience an exacerbation, represented by line 366b.

Fig. 19 shows another graph 360b of the average inhalation volume per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 19 shows the data during a period which is 30 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place.

Fig. 20 shows a graph 370b of the average inhalation duration per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 20 shows the data during a risk period which is 14 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Line 372b corresponds to the average inhalation duration during the risk period. Line 372b is lower on the y-axis than the baseline average inhalation duration outside the risk period, represented by line 374b. Fig. 20 further provides the baseline average inhalation duration for the patients which did not experience an exacerbation, represented by line 376b.

Fig. 21 shows another graph 370b of the average inhalation duration per subject versus days from a COPD exacerbation. Fig. 21 shows the data during a period which is 30 days either side of the day on which the exacerbation takes place. Figs. 18-21 reveal a relatively long term (evident over about 30 days) linear decrease in inhalation volume and duration prior to AECOPD.

Table 4 compares the inhalation parameters and rescue medicament usage recorded for patients during and outside the ± 14-day AECOPD window, and for patients which did not experience an AECOPD.

Table 4

Baseline mean daily albuterol inhalations were higher and mean inhalation volume and duration were slightly lower for exacerbating patients compared with non-exacerbating patients. During the ± 14-day AECOPD window, patients had higher daily albuterol inhalations than their baseline (outside the ± 14- day AECOPD window) and compared with patients which did not have an AECOPD.

In contrast to the asthma exacerbation predictive model described above, it was found that the strongest predictive factor of COPD exacerbation was the parameter relating to air flow, e.g. peak inhalation flow, inhalation volume and/or inhalation duration. The number of rescue inhalations was also found to have significant predictive value.

On the basis of the above results, the weighted predictive model was developed to determine the probability of COPD exacerbation. The supervised machine learning technique, Gradient Boosting Trees, was used to solve the classification problem (yes/no COPD exacerbation in the upcoming x days (exacerbation period)). The Gradient Boosting Trees technique used was the same as that described above in relation to the asthma exacerbation prediction model.

Table 5 provides an exemplary list of factors which may be included in the weighted model, together with their relative weighting to each other. Table 5

The generated model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Whilst the most significant factor in the predictive model for determining the probability of an impending COPD exacerbation is the inhalation parameter, the predictive model was strengthened by supplementing this with the data relating to the number of rescue inhalations. Fig. 22 shows a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of the model, which assesses the quality of the model by plotting the true positive rate against the false positive rate. This model predicted an impending exacerbation over the subsequent 5 days with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) value of 0.77.

In the case of COPD exacerbation prediction, the number of rescue inhalations may represent a significant factor in improving the accuracy with which the probability of an exacerbation may be determined, in spite of exerting less overall influence on the probability than the inhalation parameters.

When the parameter includes the peak inhalation flow, the method may further comprise determining a peak inhalation flow, such as a minimum or average peak inhalation flow from peak inhalation flows measured for inhalations performed during a second time period. The term “second” in relation to the second time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the peak inhalation flows from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled. The second time period may at least partially overlap with the first time period, or the first and second time periods may be concurrent.

The step of determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average peak inhalation flow. The second time period may be selected according to the time required to gather peak inhalation flow data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period.

The determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline peak inhalation flow, as shown in Figs. 16 and 17.

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average peak inhalation flow relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using daily minimum peak inhalation flows measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 20 days, such as 10 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average peak inhalation flow may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

The method may comprise determining an inhalation volume, such as a minimum or average inhalation volume from inhalation volumes measured for inhalations performed during a third time period. The term “third” in relation to the third time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the inhalation volumes from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled, and the second time period during which the peak inhalation flow data are sampled. The third period may at least partially overlap with the first time period and/or the second time period, or the third time period may be concurrent with at least one of the first time period and the second time period.

The step of determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average inhalation volume. The third time period may be selected according to the time required to gather minimum inhalation volume data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period.

The determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average inhalation volume relative to a baseline inhalation volume, as shown in Figs. 18 and 19.

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average inhalation volume relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using daily minimum inhalation volumes measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 20 days, such as 10 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average inhalation volume may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

The method may comprise determining an inhalation duration, such as a minimum or average inhalation duration from inhalation durations measured for inhalations over a fourth time period. The term “fourth” in relation to the fourth time period is to distinguish the period for sampling the inhalation durations from the first time period during which the number of rescue inhalations are sampled, the second time period during which the peak inhalation flow data are sampled, and the third time period during which the inhalation volume data are sampled. The fourth time period may at least partially overlap with the first time period, the second time period and/or the third time period, or the fourth time period may be concurrent with at least one of the first time period, the second time period and the third time period.

The step of determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may thus be partially based on the minimum or average inhalation duration. The fourth time period may be selected according to the time required to gather minimum inhalation duration data of suitable indicative value, in a manner analogous to the considerations explained above in relation to the first time period.

The determining the probability of the COPD exacerbation may, for example, be partially based on a change in the minimum or average inhalation duration relative to a baseline inhalation duration, as shown in Figs. 20 and 21 .

For enhanced accuracy in predicting the exacerbation, the change in the minimum or average inhalation duration relative to the baseline may be, for instance, 10% or more, such as 50% or more or 90% or more. The baseline may, for example, be determined using average inhalation durations measured over a period in which no exacerbation has taken place, for example for 1 to 20 days, such as 10 days. Alternatively or additionally, the minimum or average inhalation duration may be assessed relative to an absolute value.

Figs. 23-26 provide a non-limiting example of an inhaler 100 which may be included in the system 10.

Fig. 23 provides a front perspective view of an inhaler 100 according to a non-limiting example. The inhaler 100 may, for example, be a breath-actuated inhaler. The inhaler 100 may include a top cap 102, a main housing 104, a mouthpiece 106, a mouthpiece cover 108, an electronics module 120, and an air vent 126. The mouthpiece cover 108 may be hinged to the main housing 104 so that it may open and close to expose the mouthpiece 106. Although illustrated as a hinged connection, the mouthpiece cover 106 may be connected to the inhaler 100 through other types of connections. Moreover, while the electronics module 120 is illustrated as housed within the top cap 102 at the top of the main housing 104, the electronics module 120 may be integrated and/or housed within the main body 104 of the inhaler 100. The electronics module 120 may, for instance, include the above-described use determination system 12 and the transmission module 14. For example, the electronics module 120 may include a processor, memory configured to perform the functions of use determination system 12 and/or transmission module 14. The electronics module 120 may include switch(es), sensor(s), slider(s), and/or other instruments or measurement devices configured to determine inhaler usage information as described herein. The electronics module 120 may include a transceiver and/or other communication chips or circuits configured to perform the transmission functions of transmission module 14.

Fig. 24 provides a cross-sectional interior perspective view of the example inhaler 100. Inside the main housing 104, the inhalation device 100 may include a medication reservoir 110 and a dose delivery mechanism. For example, the inhaler 100 may include a medication reservoir 110 (e.g. a hopper), a bellows 112, a bellows spring 114, a yoke (not visible), a dosing cup 116, a dosing chamber 117, a deagglomerator 121 , and a flow pathway 119. The medication reservoir 110 may include medication, such as dry powder medication, for delivery to the subject. Although illustrated as a combination of the bellows 112, the bellows spring 114, the yoke, the dosing cup 116, the dosing chamber 117, and the deagglomerator 121 , the dose delivery mechanism may include a subset of the components described and/or the inhalation device 100 may include a different dose delivery mechanism (e.g. based on the type of inhalation device, the type of medication, etc.). For instance, in some examples the medication may be included in a blister strip and the dose delivery mechanism, which may include one or more wheels, levers, and/or actuators, is configured to advance the blister strip, open a new blister that includes a dose of medication, and make that dose of medication available to a dosing chamber and/or mouthpiece for inhalation by the user.

When the mouthpiece cover 108 is moved from the closed to the open position, the dose delivery mechanism of the inhaler 100 may prime a dose of medicament. In the illustrated example of Fig. 24, the mouthpiece cover 108 being moved from the closed to the open position may cause the bellows 112 to compress to deliver a dose of medication from the medication reservoir 110 to the dosing cup 116. Thereafter, a subject may inhale through the mouthpiece 106 in an effort to receive the dose of medication.

The airflow generated from the subject’s inhalation may cause the deagglomerator 121 to aerosolize the dose of medication by breaking down the agglomerates of the medicament in the dose cup 116. The deagglomerator 121 may be configured to aerosolize the medication when the airflow through the flow pathway 119 meets or exceeds a particular rate, or is within a specific range. When aerosolized, the dose of medication may travel from the dosing cup 116, into the dosing chamber 117, through the flow pathway 119, and out of the mouthpiece 106 to the subject. If the airflow through the flow pathway 119 does not meet or exceed a particular rate, or is not within a specific range, the medication may remain in the dosing cup 116. In the event that the medication in the dosing cup 116 has not been aerosolized by the deagglomerator 121 , another dose of medication may not be delivered from the medication reservoir 110 when the mouthpiece cover 108 is subsequently opened. Thus, a single dose of medication may remain in the dosing cup until the dose has been aerosolized by the deagglomerator 121. When a dose of medication is delivered, a dose confirmation may be stored in memory at the inhaler 100 as dose confirmation information.

As the subject inhales through the mouthpiece 106, air may enter the air vent to provide a flow of air for delivery of the medication to the subject. The flow pathway 119 may extend from the dosing chamber 117 to the end of the mouthpiece 106, and include the dosing chamber 117 and the internal portions of the mouthpiece 106. The dosing cup 116 may reside within or adjacent to the dosing chamber 117. Further, the inhaler 100 may include a dose counter 111 that is configured to be initially set to a number of total doses of medication within the medication reservoir 110 and to decrease by one each time the mouthpiece cover 108 is moved from the closed position to the open position.

The top cap 102 may be attached to the main housing 104. For example, the top cap 102 may be attached to the main housing 104 through the use of one or more clips that engage recesses on the main housing 104. The top cap 102 may overlap a portion of the main housing 104 when connected, for example, such that a substantially pneumatic seal exists between the top cap 102 and the main housing 104.

Fig. 25 is an exploded perspective view of the example inhaler 100 with the top cap 102 removed to expose the electronics module 120. As shown in Fig. 25, the top surface of the main housing 104 may include one or more (e.g. two) orifices 146. One of the orifices 146 may be configured to accept a slider 140. For example, when the top cap 102 is attached to the main housing 104, the slider 140 may protrude through the top surface of the main housing 104 via one of the orifices 146.

Fig. 26 is an exploded perspective view of the top cap 102 and the electronics module 120 of the example inhaler 100. As shown in Fig. 26, the slider 140 may define an arm 142, a stopper 144, and a distal end 145. The distal end 145 may be a bottom portion of the slider 140. The distal end 145 of the slider 140 may be configured to abut the yoke that resides within the main housing 104 (e.g. when the mouthpiece cover 108 is in the closed or partially open position). The distal end 145 may be configured to abut a top surface of the yoke when the yoke is in any radial orientation. For example, the top surface of the yoke may include a plurality of apertures (not shown), and the distal end 145 of the slider 140 may be configured to abut the top surface of the yoke, for example, whether or not one of the apertures is in alignment with the slider 140.

The top cap 102 may include a slider guide 148 that is configured to receive a slider spring 146 and the slider 140. The slider spring 146 may reside within the slider guide 148. The slider spring 146 may engage an inner surface of the top cap 102, and the slider spring 146 may engage (e.g. abut) an upper portion (e.g. a proximate end) of the slider 140. When the slider 140 is installed within the slider guide 148, the slider spring 146 may be partially compressed between the top of the slider 140 and the inner surface of the top cap 102. For example, the slider spring 146 may be configured such that the distal end 145 of the slider 140 remains in contact with the yoke when the mouthpiece cover 108 is closed. The distal end 145 of the slider 145 may also remain in contact with the yoke while the mouthpiece cover 108 is being opened or closed. The stopper 144 of the slider 140 may engage a stopper of the slider guide 148, for example, such that the slider 140 is retained within the slider guide 148 through the opening and closing of the mouthpiece cover 108, and vice versa. The stopper 144 and the slider guide 148 may be configured to limit the vertical (e.g. axial) travel of the slider 140. This limit may be less than the vertical travel of the yoke. Thus, as the mouthpiece cover 108 is moved to a fully open position, the yoke may continue to move in a vertical direction towards the mouthpiece 106 but the stopper 144 may stop the vertical travel of the slider 140 such that the distal end 145 of the slider 140 may no longer be in contact with the yoke.

More generally, the yoke may be mechanically connected to the mouthpiece cover 108 and configured to move to compress the bellows spring 114 as the mouthpiece cover 108 is opened from the closed position and then release the compressed bellows spring 114 when the mouthpiece cover reaches the fully open position, thereby causing the bellows 112 to deliver the dose from the medication reservoir 110 to the dosing cup 116. The yoke may be in contact with the slider 140 when the mouthpiece cover 108 is in the closed position. The slider 140 may be arranged to be moved by the yoke as the mouthpiece cover 108 is opened from the closed position and separated from the yoke when the mouthpiece cover 108 reaches the fully open position. This arrangement may be regarded as a nonlimiting example of the previously described dose metering assembly, since opening the mouthpiece cover 108 causes the metering of the dose of the medicament.

The movement of the slider 140 during the dose metering may cause the slider 140 to engage and actuate a switch 130. The switch 130 may trigger the electronics module 120 to register the dose metering. The slider 140 and switch 130 together with the electronics module 120 may thus be regarded as being included in the use determination system 12 described above. The slider 140 may be regarded in this example as the means by which the use determination system 12 is configured to register the metering of the dose by the dose metering assembly, each metering being thereby indicative of the inhalation performed by the subject using the inhaler 100.

Actuation of the switch 130 by the slider 140 may also, for example, cause the electronics module 120 to transition from the first power state to a second power state, and to sense an inhalation by the subject from the mouthpiece 106.

The electronics module 120 may include a printed circuit board (PCB) assembly 122, a switch 130, a power supply (e.g. a battery 126), and/or a battery holder 124. The PCB assembly 122 may include surface mounted components, such as a sensor system 128, a wireless communication circuit 129, the switch 130, and or one or more indicators (not shown), such as one or more light emitting diodes (LEDs). The electronics module 120 may include a controller (e.g. a processor) and/or memory. The controller and/or memory may be physically distinct components of the PCB 122. Alternatively, the controller and memory may be part of another chipset mounted on the PCB 122, for example, the wireless communication circuit 129 may include the controller and/or memory for the electronics module 120. The controller of the electronics module 120 may include a microcontroller, a programmable logic device (PLD), a microprocessor, an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC), a field programmable gate array (FPGA), or any suitable processing device or control circuit.

The controller may access information from, and store data in the memory. The memory may include any type of suitable memory, such as non-removable memory and/or removable memory. The nonremovable memory may include random-access memory (RAM), read-only memory (ROM), a hard disk, or any other type of memory storage device. The removable memory may include a subscriber identity module (SIM) card, a memory stick, a secure digital (SD) memory card, and the like. The memory may be internal to the controller. The controller may also access data from, and store data in, memory that is not physically located within the electronics module 120, such as on a server or a smart phone.

The sensor system 128 may include one or more sensors. The sensor system 128 may be, for example, included in the use determination system 12 described above. The sensor system 128 may include one or more sensors, for example, of different types, such as, but not limited to one or more pressure sensors, temperature sensors, humidity sensors, orientation sensors, acoustic sensors, and/or optical sensors. The one or more pressure sensors may include a barometric pressure sensor (e.g. an atmospheric pressure sensor), a differential pressure sensor, an absolute pressure sensor, and/or the like. The sensors may employ microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) and/or nanoelectromechanical systems (NEMS) technology. The sensor system 128 may be configured to provide an instantaneous reading (e.g. pressure reading) to the controller of the electronics module 120 and/or aggregated readings (e.g. pressure readings) over time. As illustrated in Figs. 24 and 25, the sensor system 128 may reside outside the flow pathway 119 of the inhaler 100, but may be pneumatically coupled to the flow pathway 119.

The controller of the electronics module 120 may receive signals corresponding to measurements from the sensor system 128. The controller may calculate or determine one or more airflow metrics using the signals received from the sensor system 128. The airflow metrics may be indicative of a profile of airflow through the flow pathway 119 of the inhaler 100. For example, if the sensor system 128 records a change in pressure of 0.3 kilopascals (kPa), the electronics module 120 may determine that the change corresponds to an airflow rate of approximately 45 liters per minute (Lpm) through the flow pathway 119.

Fig. 27 shows a graph of airflow rates versus pressure. The airflow rates and profile shown in Fig. 27 are merely examples and the determined rates may depend on the size, shape, and design of the inhalation device 100 and its components.

The processing module 34 may generate personalized data in real-time by comparing signals received from the sensor system 128 and/or the determined airflow metrics to one or more thresholds or ranges, for example, as part of an assessment of how the inhaler 100 is being used and/or whether the use is likely to result in the delivery of a full dose of medication. For example, where the determined airflow metric corresponds to an inhalation with an airflow rate below a particular threshold, the processing module 34 may determine that there has been no inhalation or an insufficient inhalation from the mouthpiece 106 of the inhaler 100. If the determined airflow metric corresponds to an inhalation with an airflow rate above a particular threshold, the processing module 34 may determine that there has been an excessive inhalation from the mouthpiece 106. If the determined airflow metric corresponds to an inhalation with an airflow rate within a particular range, the processing module 34 may determine that the inhalation is “good”, or likely to result in a full dose of medication being delivered.

The pressure measurement readings and/or the computed airflow metrics may be indicative of the quality or strength of inhalation from the inhaler 100. For example, when compared to a particular threshold or range of values, the readings and/or metrics may be used to categorize the inhalation as a certain type of event, such as a good inhalation event, a low inhalation event, a no inhalation event, or an excessive inhalation event. The categorization of the inhalation may be usage parameters stored as personalized data of the subject.

The no or low inhalation event may be associated with pressure measurement readings and/or airflow metrics below a particular threshold, such as an airflow rate less than or equal to 30 Lpm. The no inhalation event may occur when a subject does not inhale from the mouthpiece 106 after opening the mouthpiece cover 108 and during the measurement cycle. The no or low inhalation event may also occur when the subject’s inspiratory effort is insufficient to ensure proper delivery of the medication via the flow pathway 119, such as when the inspiratory effort generates insufficient airflow to activate the deagglomerator 121 and, thus, aerosolize the medication in the dosing cup 116.

A fair inhalation event may be associated with pressure measurement readings and/or airflow metrics within a particular range, such as an airflow rate greater than 30 Lpm and less than or equal to 45 Lpm. The fair inhalation event may occur when the subject inhales from the mouthpiece 106 after opening the mouthpiece cover 108 and the subject’s inspiratory effort causes at least a partial dose of the medication to be delivered via the flow pathway 119. That is, the inhalation may be sufficient to activate the deagglomerator 121 such that at least a portion of the medication is aerosolized from the dosing cup 116.

The good inhalation event may be associated with pressure measurement readings and/or airflow metrics above the low inhalation event, such as an airflow rate which is greater than 45 Lpm and less than or equal to 200 Lpm. The good inhalation event may occur when the subject inhales from the mouthpiece 106 after opening the mouthpiece cover 108 and the subject’s inspiratory effort is sufficient to ensure proper delivery of the medication via the flow pathway 119, such as when the inspiratory effort generates sufficient airflow to activate the deagglomerator 121 and aerosolize a full dose of medication in the dosing cup 116.

The excessive inhalation event may be associated with pressure measurement readings and/or airflow metrics above the good inhalation event, such as an airflow rate above 200 Lpm. The excessive inhalation event may occur when the subject’s inspiratory effort exceeds the normal operational parameters of the inhaler 100. The excessive inhalation event may also occur if the device 100 is not properly positioned or held during use, even if the subject’s inspiratory effort is within a normal range. For example, the computed airflow rate may exceed 200 Lpm if the air vent is blocked or obstructed (e.g. by a finger or thumb) while the subject is inhaling from the mouthpiece 106.

Any suitable thresholds or ranges may be used to categorize a particular event. Some or all of the events may be used. For example, the no inhalation event may be associated with an airflow rate which is less than or equal to 45 Lpm and the good inhalation event may be associated with an airflow rate which is greater than 45 Lpm and less than or equal to 200 Lpm. As such, the low or fair inhalation event may not be used at all in some cases.

The pressure measurement readings and/or the computed airflow metrics may also be indicative of the direction of flow through the flow pathway 119 of the inhaler 100. For example, if the pressure measurement readings reflect a negative change in pressure, the readings may be indicative of air flowing out of the mouthpiece 106 via the flow pathway 119. If the pressure measurement readings reflect a positive change in pressure, the readings may be indicative of air flowing into the mouthpiece 106 via the flow pathway 119. Accordingly, the pressure measurement readings and/or airflow metrics may be used to determine whether a subject is exhaling into the mouthpiece 106, which may signal that the subject is not using the device 100 properly.

The inhaler 100 may include a spirometer or similarly operating device to enable measurement of lung function metrics. For example, the inhaler 100 may perform measurements to obtain metrics related to a subject’s lung capacity. The spirometer or similarly operating device may measure the volume of air inhaled and/or exhaled by the subject. The spirometer or similarly operating device may use pressure transducers, ultrasound, or a water gauge to detect the changes in the volume of air inhaled and/or exhaled.

The personalized data collected from, or calculated based on, the usage of the inhaler 100 (e.g. pressure metrics, airflow metrics, lung function metrics, dose confirmation information, etc.) may be computed and/or assessed via external devices as well (e.g. partially or entirely). More specifically, the wireless communication circuit 129 in the electronics module 120 may include a transmitter and/or receiver (e.g. a transceiver), as well as additional circuity. The wireless communication circuit 129 may include, or define, the transmission module 14 of the inhaler 100.

For example, the wireless communication circuit 129 may include a Bluetooth chip set (e.g. a Bluetooth Low Energy chip set), a ZigBee chipset, a Thread chipset, etc. As such, the electronics module 120 may wirelessly provide the personalized data, such as pressure measurements, airflow metrics, lung function metrics, dose confirmation information, and/or other conditions related to usage of the inhaler 100, to an external processing module 34, such as a processing module 34 included in a smart phone 40. The personalized data may be provided in real time to the external device to enable acute risk level determination based on real-time data from the inhaler 100 that indicates time of use, how the inhaler 100 is being used, and personalized data about the subject, such as real-time data related to the subject’s lung function and/or medical treatment. The external device may include software for processing the received information and for providing compliance and adherence feedback to the subject via a graphical user interface (GUI). The graphical user interface may be included in, or may define, the user interface 38 included in the system 10.

The airflow metrics may include personalized data that is collected from the inhaler 100 in real-time, such as one or more of an average flow of an inhalation/exhalation, a peak flow of an inhalation/exhalation (e.g. a maximum inhalation received), a volume of an inhalation/exhalation, a time to peak of an inhalation/exhalation, and/or the duration of an inhalation/exhalation. The airflow metrics may also be indicative of the direction of flow through the flow pathway 119. That is, a negative change in pressure may correspond to an inhalation from the mouthpiece 106, while a positive change in pressure may correspond to an exhalation into the mouthpiece 106. When calculating the airflow metrics, the electronics module 120 may be configured to eliminate or minimize any distortions caused by environmental conditions. For example, the electronics module 120 may re-zero to account for changes in atmospheric pressure before or after calculating the airflow metrics. The one or more pressure measurements and/or airflow metrics may be time-stamped and stored in the memory of the electronics module 120.

In addition to the airflow metrics, the inhaler 100, or another computing device, may use the airflow metrics to generate additional personalized data. For example, the controller of the electronics module 120 of the inhaler 100 and/or the processing module 34 may translate the airflow metrics into other metrics that indicate the subject’s lung function and/or lung health that are understood to medical practitioners, such as peak inspiratory flow metrics, peak expiratory flow metrics, and/or forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), for example. The processing module 34 and/or the electronics module 120 of the inhaler 100 may determine a measure of the subject’s lung function and/or lung health using a mathematical model such as a regression model. The mathematical model may identify a correlation between the total volume of an inhalation and FEV1 . The mathematical model may identify a correlation between peak inspiratory flow and FEV1. The mathematical model may identify a correlation between the total volume of an inhalation and peak expiratory flow. The mathematical model may identify a correlation between peak inspiratory flow and peak expiratory flow.

The battery 126 may provide power to the components of the PCB 122. The battery 126 may be any suitable source for powering the electronics module 120, such as a coin cell battery, for example. The battery 126 may be rechargeable or non-rechargeable. The battery 126 may be housed by the battery holder 124. The battery holder 124 may be secured to the PCB 122 such that the battery 126 maintains continuous contact with the PCB 122 and/or is in electrical connection with the components of the PCB 122. The battery 126 may have a particular battery capacity that may affect the life of the battery 126. As will be further discussed below, the distribution of power from the battery 126 to the one or more components of the PCB 122 may be managed to ensure the battery 126 can power the electronics module 120 over the useful life of the inhaler 100 and/or the medication contained therein. In a connected state, the communication circuit and memory may be powered on and the electronics module 120 may be “paired” with an external device, such as a smart phone. The controller may retrieve data from the memory and wirelessly transmit the data to the external device. The controller may retrieve and transmit the data currently stored in the memory. The controller may also retrieve and transmit a portion of the data currently stored in the memory. For example, the controller may be able to determine which portions have already been transmitted to the external device and then transmit the portion(s) that have not been previously transmitted. Alternatively, the external device may request specific data from the controller, such as any data that has been collected by the electronics module 120 after a particular time or after the last transmission to the external device. The controller may retrieve the specific data, if any, from the memory and transmit the specific data to the external device.

The data stored in the memory of the electronics module 120 (e.g. the signals generated by the switch 130, the pressure measurement readings taken by the sensory system 128 and/or the airflow metrics computed by the controller of the PCB 122) may be transmitted to an external device, which may process and analyze the data to determine the usage parameters associated with the inhaler 100. Further, a mobile application residing on the mobile device may generate feedback for the user based on data received from the electronics module 120. For example, the mobile application may generate daily, weekly, or monthly report, provide confirmation of error events or notifications, provide instructive feedback to the subject, and/or the like.

Other variations to the disclosed embodiments can be understood and effected by those skilled in the art in practicing the claimed invention, from a study of the drawings, the disclosure, and the appended claims. In the claims, the word "comprising" does not exclude other elements or steps, and the indefinite article "a" or "an" does not exclude a plurality. The mere fact that certain measures are recited in mutually different dependent claims does not indicate that a combination of these measures cannot be used to advantage. Any reference signs in the claims should not be construed as limiting the scope.

The application also includes the following embodiments:

[1] A system comprising: at least one inhaler, each of the at least one inhaler comprising a use determination system configured to determine at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of the respective inhaler by a subject; a user interface configured to enable user-inputting of an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject; and a processing module configured to control the user interface to issue a prompt to input said indication based on said at least one value.

[2] The system according to embodiment [1], wherein the usage parameter comprises a use of the at least one inhaler by the subject.

[3] The system according to embodiment [2], wherein the use determination system comprises a sensor for detecting an inhalation performed by the subject and/or a mechanical switch configured to be actuated prior to, during, or after use of the at least one inhaler.

[4] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [3], wherein the processing module is configured to record a number of uses of the at least one inhaler, and control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between said recorded number of uses and a baseline number of uses reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

[5] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [4], wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a rescue inhaler configured to deliver a rescue medicament.

[6] The system according to embodiment [5], wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a recorded number of rescue inhaler uses exceeding a predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses; optionally wherein the predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses corresponds to a baseline number of rescue inhaler uses made by the subject during an exacerbation-free period.

[7] The system according to any embodiments [1] to [6], wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a maintenance inhaler configured to deliver a maintenance medicament.

[8] The system according to embodiment [7], wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a recorded number of maintenance inhaler uses being less than a predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses; optionally wherein the predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses corresponds to a prescribed number of maintenance inhaler uses specified by a treatment regimen. [9] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [8], wherein the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during an inhalation performed by the subject with the at least one inhaler.

[10] The system according to embodiment [9], wherein the use determination system comprises a sensor for sensing the parameter.

[11] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [10], wherein the system comprises a memory for storing said indication inputted via the user interface.

[12] The system according to any of embodiments [9] to [11], wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on a difference between said parameter relating to airflow and an airflow parameter baseline reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

[13] The system according to any of embodiments [9] to [12], wherein the parameter is at least one of a peak inhalation flow, an inhalation volume, and an inhalation duration.

[14] The system according to embodiment [13], wherein the processing module is configured to control the user interface to issue the prompt at least partly based on: a change in the peak inhalation flow relative to a baseline peak inhalation flow; a change in the inhalation volume relative to a baseline inhalation volume; and/or a change in the inhalation duration relative to a baseline inhalation duration.

[15] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [14], wherein the user interface is configured to provide a plurality of user-selectable respiratory disease status options, wherein the indication is defined by user-selection of at least one of said status options.

[16] The system according to embodiment [15], wherein the user interface is configured to provide said status options in the form of selectable icons, checkboxes, a slider, and/or a dial.

[17] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [16], wherein the user interface is at least partly defined by a first user interface of a user device in communication with the at least one inhaler; optionally wherein the user device is at least one selected from a personal computer, a tablet computer, and a smart phone, and/or wherein the processing module is at least partly included in a processor included in the user device.

[18] The system according to any of embodiments [1] to [17], wherein the at least one inhaler comprises an inhaler configured to deliver a medicament selected from albuterol, budesonide, beclomethasone, fluticasone, formoterol, salmeterol, indacaterol, vilanterol, tiotropium, aclidinium, umeclidinium, glycopyrronium, salmeterol combined with fluticasone, beclomethasone combined with albuterol, and budesonide combined with formoterol. [19] A method comprising: receiving at least one value of a usage parameter relating to use of at least one inhaler by a subject, the at least one value being determined by a use determination system included in the respective inhaler; and controlling a user interface to issue a prompt to input an indication of a status of a respiratory disease being experienced by the subject, the prompt being issued based on said at least one value.

[20] The method according to embodiment [19], wherein the usage parameter comprises a use of the at least one inhaler by the subject.

[21] The method according to embodiment [20], comprising recording a number of uses of the inhaler, wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a difference between said recorded number of uses and a baseline number of uses reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

[22] The method according to any of embodiments [19] to [21], wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a rescue inhaler configured to deliver a rescue medicament; optionally wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a recorded number of rescue inhaler uses exceeding a predetermined number of rescue inhaler uses.

[23] The method according to any of embodiments [19] to [22], wherein the at least one inhaler comprises a maintenance inhaler configured to deliver a maintenance medicament; optionally wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a recorded number of maintenance inhaler uses being less than a predetermined number of maintenance inhaler uses.

[24] The method according to any of embodiments [19] to [23], wherein the usage parameter comprises a parameter relating to airflow during an inhalation performed by the subject; optionally wherein said controlling the user interface to issue the prompt is at least partly based on a difference between said parameter relating to airflow and an airflow parameter baseline reaching or exceeding a given threshold.

[25] A computer program comprising computer program code which is adapted, when said computer program is run on a computer, to implement the method of any of embodiments [19] to [24]