Title:
POWER GENERATION AMOUNT PREDICTION DEVICE, POWER GENERATION AMOUNT PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM
Document Type and Number:
Japanese Patent JP2018207669
Kind Code:
A
Abstract:
To provide a power generation amount prediction device, a power generation amount prediction method, and a program, capable of precisely predicting an error in a predicted power generation amount in a power generation facility using a renewable energy.SOLUTION: A power generation amount prediction device comprises: a regression analysis part that generates a regression equation on the basis of a plurality of first power generation amounts calculated in a past predetermined first time and a plurality of first meteorological information indicating a meteorological state calculated in a first time; an acquisition part that acquires a plurality of third meteorological information indicating the meteorological state calculated in a past predetermined second time approximated to second meteorological information indicating the meteorological information measured at present; a first prediction part that calculates a plurality of second power generation amount predicted in the second time on the basis of the third meteorological information and the regression equation; and an error calculation part that calculates an error indicating a difference between the second power generation amount and the third power generation amount calculated in the second time, and calculates the error as a first error in accordance with a fourth power generation amount predicted in a future predetermined future time.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 2
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Inventors:
DOI TAKASHI
MIKAWA GENYO
KAWACHI SEIJI
MIKAWA GENYO
KAWACHI SEIJI
Application Number:
JP2017110634A
Publication Date:
December 27, 2018
Filing Date:
June 05, 2017
Export Citation:
Assignee:
CHUGOKU ELECTRIC POWER
International Classes:
H02J3/00; G06Q50/06
Domestic Patent References:
| JP2016192864A | 2016-11-10 | |||
| JP2016136801A | 2016-07-28 | |||
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Foreign References:
| US20130024044A1 | 2013-01-24 | |||
| CN102496927A | 2012-06-13 |
Attorney, Agent or Firm:
Isshiki International Patent Service Corporation