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Title:
需要予測方法及び需要予測プログラム
Document Type and Number:
Japanese Patent JP4099076
Kind Code:
B2
Abstract:

To provide a demand prediction method and a demand prediction program capable of properly predicting a demand for a commodity.

A management computer 21 applies a growth model to an accumulation amount transition of an order acceptance to compute a trend function to an order acceptance result. The management computer 21 computes a transition of a differential between the order acceptance result and the trend function. The management computer 21 finds periodic conformity intensity of the differential transition by means of a periodogram. When the periodic property is determined on the basis of the conformity intensity, a quadratic Sin model constructed by including a quadratic function and a trigonometric function is applied to the differential transition between the order acceptance result and the trend curve for computing a periodic function. The management computer 21 uses a function generated by synthesizing the trend function and the periodic function to predict a demand.

COPYRIGHT: (C)2004,JPO&NCIPI


Inventors:
Takenori Oku
Hirohisa Hirono
Application Number:
JP2003024054A
Publication Date:
June 11, 2008
Filing Date:
January 31, 2003
Export Citation:
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Assignee:
株式会社リコー
International Classes:
G06F17/18; G06Q10/00; G06Q30/02; G06Q50/00
Domestic Patent References:
JP5314094A
JP10228461A
JP9160997A
JP2002149819A
Other References:
景気動向を判断する際に用いる総合指標,ファイナンシャル・レビュー,日本,財務省財務総合政策研究所,2001年 6月,p.13
Attorney, Agent or Firm:
Hironobu Onda
Makoto Onda