PREDICTION DEVICE, PROGRAM AND PREDICTION METHOD - BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI UFJ LTD

Title:

PREDICTION DEVICE, PROGRAM AND PREDICTION METHOD

Document Type and Number:

Japanese Patent JP2012033134

Kind Code:

A

Abstract:

To provide a technology capable of accurately predicting an upper limit for the transaction quantity per unit period.

A prediction device 1 predicts an upper limit for the daily transaction quantity in foreign exchange business based on transaction historic data. Specifically, the prediction device 1 takes: steps (S120 and S130) for performing statistical processing of transaction historic data and for calculating basic variations KL and KH that show an increment in the transaction quantity E for an exchange-rate variation G; steps (S160 and S170) for calculating the daily basic transaction quantity R (showing the transaction quantity under the assumption that there is no fluctuation of rates) in a past predetermined period, based on the basic variations KL and KH and the transaction historic data; a step (S200) for predicting an upper limit Vr for the transaction quantity in the case of no fluctuation of rates, based on a distribution of the basic transaction quantity R; and a step (S220) for predicting limit values Ug and Vg for the daily exchange-rate variation, based on a distribution of the exchange-rate variation specified from the transaction historic data. Then, the prediction device predicts the upper limit EM for the daily transaction quantity based on the values Vr, Ug, Vg, KL and KH.

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Inventors:

KAWAMOTO HIDEO

Application Number:

JP2010198929A

Publication Date:

February 16, 2012

Filing Date:

September 06, 2010

Export Citation:

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Assignee:

BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI UFJ LTD

International Classes:

G06Q40/02; G06Q40/00; G06Q40/04

Domestic Patent References:

JP2009059301A	2009-03-19
JP2010061297A	2010-03-18
JPH0736831A	1995-02-07

Other References:

JPN6012025170; 平田　　飛仙　　Ｔａｋａｈｉｓａ　　ＨＩＲＡＴＡ: 'ＤｙｎａｍｉｃＳＶＤによるサーバ負荷予測手法について　　Ｏｎ　Ｓｅｒｖｅｒ　Ｌｏａｄ　Ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎ　Ｍｅｔｈｏｄ　Ｕｓｉｎｇ　Ｄｙｎａｍｉｃ' 第７０回（平成２０年）全国大会講演論文集（４）　　インタフェース　　コンピュータと人間社会 , 20080313, Ｐ．４-５３７　〜　４-５３８, 社団法人情報処理学会　　Ｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎ　Ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｉｎｇ　Ｓｏｃｉｅ
JPN6012025170; 平田　　飛仙　　Ｔａｋａｈｉｓａ　　ＨＩＲＡＴＡ: 'ＤｙｎａｍｉｃＳＶＤによるサーバ負荷予測手法について　　Ｏｎ　Ｓｅｒｖｅｒ　Ｌｏａｄ　Ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎ　Ｍｅｔｈｏｄ　Ｕｓｉｎｇ　Ｄｙｎａｍｉｃ' 第７０回（平成２０年）全国大会講演論文集（４）　　インタフェース　　コンピュータと人間社会 , 20080313, Ｐ．４-５３７　〜　４-５３８, 社団法人情報処理学会　　Ｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎ　Ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｉｎｇ　Ｓｏｃｉｅ
JPN6012025171; 中村　　正弘: 'コンピュータ・コスト"泥縄式管理"脱出の勧め' 日経コンピュータ　　第１４５号　　ＮＩＫＫＥＩ　ＣＯＭＰＵＴＥＲ , 19870413, Ｐ．７１-８２, 日経マグロウヒル社　　Ｎｉｋｋｅｉ-ＭｃＧｒａｗ-Ｈｉｌｌ，Ｉｎｃ．
CSNJ200810067262; 平田　　飛仙　　Ｔａｋａｈｉｓａ　　ＨＩＲＡＴＡ: 'ＤｙｎａｍｉｃＳＶＤによるサーバ負荷予測手法について　　Ｏｎ　Ｓｅｒｖｅｒ　Ｌｏａｄ　Ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎ　Ｍｅｔｈｏｄ　Ｕｓｉｎｇ　Ｄｙｎａｍｉｃ' 第７０回（平成２０年）全国大会講演論文集（４）　　インタフェース　　コンピュータと人間社会 , 20080313, Ｐ．４-５３７　〜　４-５３８, 社団法人情報処理学会　　Ｉｎｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎ　Ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｉｎｇ　Ｓｏｃｉｅ
CSND200700635003; 中村　　正弘: 'コンピュータ・コスト"泥縄式管理"脱出の勧め' 日経コンピュータ　　第１４５号　　ＮＩＫＫＥＩ　ＣＯＭＰＵＴＥＲ , 19870413, Ｐ．７１-８２, 日経マグロウヒル社　　Ｎｉｋｋｅｉ-ＭｃＧｒａｗ-Ｈｉｌｌ，Ｉｎｃ．

Attorney, Agent or Firm:

Nagoya International Patent Service Corporation

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